2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 7 Coby Mayo 4 HRs · 8 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 9 Rafael Devers 4 HRs · 10 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 11 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 12 Nick Sogard 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 4 Sal Stewart 5 HRs · 5 Tristan Peters 5 HRs · 6 Heriberto Hernández 4 HRs · 7 Coby Mayo 4 HRs · 8 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs · 9 Rafael Devers 4 HRs · 10 Mickey Gasper 4 HRs · 11 Luis García Jr. 4 HRs · 12 Nick Sogard 4 HRs
Brandon Pfaadt

Brandon Pfaadt

RHP AZ
108 matchups scored · 13 game days
10
HRs allowed
9.3%
HR rate (pool)
16.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.44
FIP
4.33
xFIP
+0.11
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 77
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
77
no model flags today
Vulnerability 77th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
15.7%
15.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed
73.7%
73.7%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.2 EV · 396 ft max EV allowed 111.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-05 · 1 HR 2026-04-11 · 2 HR 2026-07-28 · 2 HR 2026-08-08 · 1 HR 2026-08-19 · 3 HR 2026-08-25 · 1 HR
7D · 4 HR ↑ 15D · 4 HR ↑ 30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Pfaadt.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 25.6% 84.6 28.4° 3 -1.4
Sinker Hard 17.0% 84.9 1.5° 4 +0.5
Changeup Offspeed 16.7% 78.5 8.0° 3 +0.4
Curveball Breaking 15.4% 83.3 2.4° 2 -0.3
Sweeper Breaking 13.6% 79.4 20.8° 0 -1.3
Cutter Hard 11.6% 83.9 17.8° 0 -2.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups108
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate9.3%
Pool HR/game day0.77
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB16.7% 77
HR/9
FIP4.44 66
xFIP4.33
FIP − xFIP+0.11 55
Barrel% allowed15.7%
Hard-Hit% allowed73.7%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-09-01
Fastball
Hard · 25.6% usage
-1.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle28.4°
HRs allowed3
Pitches406
Sinker
Hard · 17.0% usage
+0.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.9 mph
Avg launch angle1.5°
HRs allowed4
Pitches270
Changeup
Offspeed · 16.7% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle8.0°
HRs allowed3
Pitches264
Curveball
Breaking · 15.4% usage
-0.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle2.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches244
Sweeper
Breaking · 13.6% usage
-1.3 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.4 mph
Avg launch angle20.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches216
Cutter
Hard · 11.6% usage
-2.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.9 mph
Avg launch angle17.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches184
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Brandon Pfaadt.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 396 ft 7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-08-25 Ian Happ #53 50 Chase Field 104.4 25.0° 397
2026-08-19 Jarren Duran #178 39 Fenway Park 100.1 37.0° 388
2026-08-19 Mickey Gasper #214 35 Fenway Park 102.2 30.0° 407
2026-08-19 Nick Sogard #249 28 Fenway Park 101.6 37.0° 385
2026-08-08 Kyle Tucker #154 38 Chase Field 98.2 32.0° 366
2026-07-28 Brandon Lowe #75 49 PNC Park 103.7 33.0° 415
2026-07-28 Bryan Reynolds #120 44 PNC Park 101.6 36.0° 402
2026-04-11 Kyle Schwarber #1 71 Citizens Bank Park 110.7 23.0° 381.0
2026-04-11 Bryce Harper #29 56 Citizens Bank Park 111.5 23.0° 419.0
2026-04-05 Drake Baldwin #69 41 Chase Field 108.4 22.0° 398.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-25 Chase Field 7 1 109.0
2026-08-19 Fenway Park 9 3 102.2
2026-08-14 Truist Park 9 0 108.3
2026-08-08 Chase Field 9 1 104.4
2026-08-03 Chase Field 6 0 104.9
2026-07-28 PNC Park 9 2 103.7
2026-07-23 Busch Stadium 9 0 110.7
2026-07-18 Chase Field 9 0 99.6
2026-07-11 Dodger Stadium 8 0 107.4
2026-07-06 Petco Park 6 0 103.2
2026-04-11 Citizens Bank Park 9 2 111.5
2026-04-05 Chase Field 9 1 108.4
2026-03-31 Chase Field 9 0 108.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Brandon Pfaadt isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Brandon Pfaadt isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Chase Field 49 3 6%
Fenway Park 9 3 33%
Citizens Bank Park 9 2 22%
PNC Park 9 2 22%
Busch Stadium 9 0 0%
Truist Park 9 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 8. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

Brandon Pfaadt's full pitcher profile is waiting

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Common questions about Brandon Pfaadt

How many home runs has Brandon Pfaadt allowed this season?

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 10 home runs across 13 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Brandon Pfaadt?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Brandon Pfaadt include Drake Baldwin (2), Kyle Tucker (2), Shohei Ohtani (2) and 34 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.169 · build 673

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