17
HRs allowed
14.9%
HR rate (pool)
26.4%
Overall HR/FB
6.38
FIP
4.97
xFIP
+1.40
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
95
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 95th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
18.4%
Hard-Hit% allowed
64.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.9 EV · 397 ft
max EV allowed 112.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Nick Lodolo.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
26.1%
87.7
19.9°
8
+1.0
Fastball Hard
25.5%
84.8
30.5°
5
+1.7
Curveball Breaking
24.6%
79.5
16.2°
1
+0.8
Changeup Offspeed
23.8%
82.1
8.8°
2
+0.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups114
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate14.9%
Pool HR/game day1.21
Top-15 matchups14
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB26.4% 95
HR/9—
FIP6.38 96
xFIP4.97
FIP − xFIP+1.40 96
Barrel% allowed18.4%
Hard-Hit% allowed64.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Sinker
Hard · 26.1% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.7 mph
Avg launch angle19.9°
HRs allowed8
Pitches369
Fastball
Hard · 25.5% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle30.5°
HRs allowed5
Pitches361
Curveball
Breaking · 24.6% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.5 mph
Avg launch angle16.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches348
Changeup
Offspeed · 23.8% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle8.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches336
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Nick Lodolo.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.9 EV · 397 ft
8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 14 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-26
6
2
105.5
2026-08-21
9
1
108.8
2026-08-16
8
2
102.0
2026-08-11
9
3
109.0
2026-07-11
9
2
104.3
2026-07-05
9
0
106.7
2026-06-29
8
1
105.8
2026-06-23
8
0
107.6
2026-06-17
7
0
109.0
2026-06-12
7
0
103.6
2026-06-06
7
1
109.8
2026-05-31
9
2
112.0
2026-05-25
9
1
108.1
2026-05-18
9
2
108.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Nick Lodolo isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Nick Lodolo isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
57
6
11%
9
3
33%
9
2
22%
6
2
33%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 8. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Nick Lodolo
How many home runs has Nick Lodolo allowed this season?
Nick Lodolo has allowed 17 home runs across 14 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Nick Lodolo?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Nick Lodolo include Alec Bohm (2), Dansby Swanson (2), Aaron Judge (1) and 30 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.