Today · 2026-07-10

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#3 Mike Trout vs Zebby Matthews FIP 5.16 HR/FB 28.6% #5 Kody Clemens vs Grayson Rodriguez FIP 5.21 HR/FB 20.0% #7 Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Hunter Greene FIP 6.82 HR/FB 33.3% #9 Zach Neto vs Zebby Matthews FIP 5.16 HR/FB 28.6%

📦 STACK Eduardo Rodriguez FIP 4.04 HR/FB 8.0% → #2 Shohei Ohtani, #14 Max Muncy

📦 STACK Zebby Matthews FIP 5.16 HR/FB 28.6% → #3 Mike Trout, #9 Zach Neto

📦 STACK Shota Imanaga FIP 4.64 HR/FB 20.3% → #8 Sal Stewart, #13 Elly De La Cruz

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-09. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.4% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	James Wood (L) ⁴	72	-5.3	●	Ryan Weathers (LHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	25	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%16.0% Avg EV95.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-07 OffTatsuya Imai Exit Velo111.4 mph Angle24.0° Distance419 ft StadiumNationals Park	●○●●○	0.5×	·	NYY Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.9% HR/90.99 FIP3.75 IP841.9 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-10 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note71°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
2	Shohei Ohtani (L) ³	69	-12.3	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-07 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo112.2 mph Angle19.0° Distance409 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○●●○	0.2×	1	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.31 FIP4.57 IP820.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.3°F Wind4.1 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
3	Mike Trout (R) ³	68	-7.5	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls3 BBE Barrel%16.4% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRobby Ahlstrom Exit Velo110.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance438 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	●○○●○	0.2×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.12 FIP4.29 IP864.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-6 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind1.3 mph E Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note64°F, wind 1 mph E (in) — modifier: +0
4	Junior Caminero (R) ³	68	-10.2	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	27	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffPaul Blackburn Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle25.0° Distance438 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○○○○●	0.0×	1	SEA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB10.4% HR/90.90 FIP3.47 IP827.0 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
5	Kody Clemens (L) ⁴	67	-6.9	●	Grayson Rodriguez (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV92.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffBrendan Beck Exit Velo101.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance393 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	●○○○○	1.3×	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.10 FIP4.39 IP842.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind1.3 mph E Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note64°F, wind 1 mph E (in) — modifier: +0
6	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁵	66	-16.2	●	Jack Flaherty (RHP) PHI @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV93.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○●●○	0.3×	·	DET Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.04 FIP3.93 IP846.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-4 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind2.5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0
7	Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) ²	65	-9.3	●	Hunter Greene (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffDean Kremer Exit Velo106.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance419 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●○	0.3×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.42 FIP5.03 IP814.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-13 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-13 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +0
8	Sal Stewart (R)	64	-8.7	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	19	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV90.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffTanner Banks Exit Velo100.3 mph Angle32.0° Distance358 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○●○	0.2×	1	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.1% HR/91.60 FIP4.84 IP823.3000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-17 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-17 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +0
9	Zach Neto (R) ²	63	-5.6	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) LAA @ MIN · Target Field	8:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffAroldis Chapman Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle31.0° Distance396 ft StadiumAngel Stadium	○●○○○	0.8×	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.4% HR/91.12 FIP4.29 IP864.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-3 Weather · Target Field cool air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.1°F Wind1.3 mph E Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note64°F, wind 1 mph E (in) — modifier: +0
10	Ben Rice (L) ³	63	-10.6	●	Carson Palmquist (LHP) NYY @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	28	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffCasey Legumina Exit Velo103.9 mph Angle29.0° Distance422 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○●●○●	0.0×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.41 FIP4.69 IP882.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-16 Weather · Nationals Park mild air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.3°F Wind2.0 mph NNW Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-16 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note71°F, wind 2 mph NNW (cross) — modifier: +0
11	Dominic Canzone (L) ⁴	63	-8.1	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) SEA @ TB · Tropicana Field	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffWilliam Kempner Exit Velo106.1 mph Angle32.0° Distance421 ft StadiumloanDepot Park	○●○○●	0.0×	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.17 FIP4.01 IP790.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Tropicana Field neutral Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Wind0 mph — Characterdome HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Roof neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR NoteDome — weather irrelevant
12	Hunter Goodman (R) ²	63	-7.6	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) COL @ SF · Oracle Park	10:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	27	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffMax Meyer Exit Velo104.3 mph Angle45.0° Distance403 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○○○○	2.3×	1	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.03 FIP4.28 IP810.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+38 Weather · Oracle Park cold air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp55°F Wind9.0 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+38 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note55°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1
13	Elly De La Cruz (S) ²	62	-5.9	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%12.2% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffTanner Banks Exit Velo104.1 mph Angle21.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	○○○●○	0.2×	1	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB17.1% HR/91.60 FIP4.84 IP823.3000000000001 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-19 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-19 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +0
14	Max Muncy (L) ³	62	-7.9	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls46 BBE Barrel%11.3% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	3.3×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.31 FIP4.57 IP820.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.3°F Wind4.1 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
15	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	62	-12.0	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) BOS @ NYM · Citi Field	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV92.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffBeck Way Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCiti Field	○●●○●	0.0×	·	BOS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.13 FIP3.97 IP814.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Citi Field warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind11.0 mph WNW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note73°F, wind 11 mph WNW (slight_out) — modifier: +1
16	Manny Machado (R) ³	61	-5.3	●	Shane Bieber (RHP) TOR @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%13.3% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo101.4 mph Angle34.0° Distance368 ft StadiumPetco Park	●○○○●	0.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.18 FIP4.09 IP849.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-7 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
17	Pete Alonso (R) ⁴	61	-9.6	●	Luinder Avila (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	20	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffColin Rea Exit Velo106.2 mph Angle24.0° Distance411 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●○	0.2×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.31 FIP4.70 IP824.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.0°F Wind6.0 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note71°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +0
18	Ian Happ (S) ²	61	-9.6	●	Hunter Greene (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-06-27 OffChad Patrick Exit Velo106.4 mph Angle26.0° Distance381 ft StadiumAmerican Family Field	○○○○○	2.5×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.42 FIP5.03 IP814.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-18 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-18 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +0
19	Matt Olson (L) ⁵	61	-9.6	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) ATL @ STL · Busch Stadium	8:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	25	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffMitch Keller Exit Velo107.6 mph Angle37.0° Distance404 ft StadiumPNC Park	○●○○●	0.0×	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.9% HR/91.04 FIP4.22 IP816.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-37 Weather · Busch Stadium mild air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.9°F Wind1.0 mph W Characterin HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-37 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note72°F, wind 1 mph W (in) — modifier: +0
20	Seiya Suzuki (R) ²	59	-9.3	●	Hunter Greene (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	15	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	1d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffTrevor Rogers Exit Velo110.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance432 ft StadiumCamden Yards	○○○●●	0.0×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.42 FIP5.03 IP814.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-22 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-22 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +0
21	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁵	58	-16.5	●	Cal Quantrill (RHP) HOU @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	29	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%13.8% Avg EV94.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffCasey Legumina Exit Velo108.3 mph Angle23.0° Distance424 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	●○○○○	2.0×	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.0% HR/91.24 FIP4.11 IP823.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Globe Life Field warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80.1°F Wind5.0 mph SSE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note80°F, wind 5 mph SSE (slight_out) — modifier: +1
22	Samuel Basallo (L) ⁵	58	-7.0	●	Luinder Avila (RHP) KC @ BAL · Camden Yards	7:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV91.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffHunter Greene Exit Velo105.7 mph Angle27.0° Distance406 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●●○○○	0.6×	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.31 FIP4.70 IP824.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+33 Weather · Camden Yards mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp71.0°F Wind6.0 mph WNW Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+33 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note71°F, wind 6 mph WNW (out) — modifier: +0
23	Kazuma Okamoto (R) ³	58	-11.4	●	JP Sears (LHP) TOR @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV91.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffLogan Webb Exit Velo99.1 mph Angle34.0° Distance328 ft StadiumOracle Park	○○●○●	0.0×	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.17 FIP4.33 IP829.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-6 Weather · Petco Park cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.5°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
24	Freddie Freeman (L) ³	58	-6.1	●	Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls44 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffKyle Hart Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle36.0° Distance388 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	●○○○○	1.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.31 FIP4.57 IP820.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.3°F Wind4.1 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
25	Colson Montgomery (L) ⁴	57	-9.8	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	23	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffTanner Bibee Exit Velo109.7 mph Angle20.0° Distance390 ft StadiumProgressive Field	●●○○○	1.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.55 FIP5.01 IP856.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR NoteUnknown stadium
26	Dansby Swanson (R) ²	57	-8.2	●	Hunter Greene (RHP) CHC @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	16	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.5% Avg EV90.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffRodolfo Durán Exit Velo92.7 mph Angle34.0° Distance387 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○○	1.5×	1	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.9% HR/91.42 FIP5.03 IP814.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-23 Weather · Great American Ball Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp73.4°F Wind5.0 mph ESE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-23 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note73°F, wind 5 mph ESE (out) — modifier: +0
27	Rafael Devers (L) ⁴	57	-8.2	●	Tanner Gordon (RHP) COL @ SF · Oracle Park	10:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%12.4% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffTanner Gordon Exit Velo110.3 mph Angle35.0° Distance463 ft StadiumCoors Field	●○○○○	1.0×	1	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.38 FIP4.81 IP840.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+60 Weather · Oracle Park cold air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp55°F Wind9.0 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note55°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1
28	Miguel Vargas (R) ⁴	56	-10.9	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	7d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffGavin Williams Exit Velo106.3 mph Angle29.0° Distance374 ft StadiumProgressive Field	○○○○○	1.0×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.6% HR/91.55 FIP5.01 IP856.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR NoteUnknown stadium
29	Ketel Marte (S) ³	55	-9.8	●	Shohei Ohtani (RHP) AZ @ LAD · Dodger Stadium	10:10p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	17	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%6.5% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-06-30 OffAdrian Houser Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle36.0° Distance431 ft StadiumChase Field	○○○○○	2.7×	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.07 FIP3.78 IP809.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+26 Weather · Dodger Stadium cool air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp64.3°F Wind4.1 mph SSE Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+26 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note64°F, wind 4 mph SSE (out) — modifier: +0
30	Dillon Dingler (R) ⁴	55	-3.9	●	Aaron Nola (RHP) PHI @ DET · Comerica Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	19	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-06-25 OffEnyel De Los Santos Exit Velo103.3 mph Angle31.0° Distance432 ft StadiumComerica Park	○○○○○	2.5×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.24 FIP3.86 IP834.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-30 Weather · Comerica Park mild air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp70.5°F Wind2.5 mph NNE Characterslight_out HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note70°F, wind 3 mph NNE (slight_out) — modifier: +0

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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223 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.4%

▼ -0.9 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 18.9% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-09

34 HRs

35%

12 caught / 34 HRs

in top 50

#3 Ben Rice

34.9%

🔵

#5 Junior Caminero

25.6%

🔵

#6 Dominic Canzone

34.6%

🔵

#8 Juan Soto

29.3%

🔵

#11 Manny Machado

25.0%

🟠

#15 Matt Olson

25.7%

🟠

#21 Jordan Walker

27.4%

🟠

#25 Seiya Suzuki

23.1%

🟠

#34 Jake Bauers

19.3%

🟠

#39 Esmerlyn Valdez

25.2%

🟠

#41 Gabriel Arias

20.4%

🟠

#50 Royce Lewis

13.0%

⚪

Missed

Justin Foscue Randy Arozarena Chase DeLauter Casey Schmitt Griffin Conine +17 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Ben Rice ×4 Juan Soto ×4 James Wood ×3 Jordan Walker ×3 Junior Caminero ×3

❄️ Cold

Hunter Goodman 0 of 7d Dansby Swanson 0 of 6d Bryce Harper 0 of 6d Max Muncy 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.8%

B 19.5%

C+ 16.7%

C 13.4%

D 8.7%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-10

You saw the full board yesterday

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.