13
HRs allowed
8.0%
HR rate (pool)
13.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.02
FIP
4.52
xFIP
-0.50
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
56
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 56th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.4 EV · 396 ft
max EV allowed 118.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR ↑
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Nick Martinez.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
30.2%
82.1
17.0°
5
-0.6
Changeup Offspeed
27.8%
78.6
17.2°
3
-1.6
Cutter Hard
20.7%
83.4
16.6°
4
-0.4
Fastball Hard
11.4%
87.8
31.2°
2
+1.4
Curveball Breaking
7.0%
82.3
2.0°
0
+0.8
Slider Breaking
2.9%
86.2
4.2°
0
+11.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups163
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate8.0%
Pool HR/game day0.68
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB13.2% 56
HR/9—
FIP4.02 48
xFIP4.52
FIP − xFIP-0.50 19
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 30.2% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle17.0°
HRs allowed5
Pitches469
Changeup
Offspeed · 27.8% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.6 mph
Avg launch angle17.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches432
Cutter
Hard · 20.7% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.4 mph
Avg launch angle16.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches322
Fastball
Hard · 11.4% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle31.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches178
Curveball
Breaking · 7.0% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle2.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches109
Slider
Breaking · 2.9% usage
+11.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.2 mph
Avg launch angle4.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches45
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Nick Martinez.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.4 EV · 396 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
6
1
105.5
2026-07-03
9
1
118.5
2026-06-26
7
1
105.7
2026-06-21
8
1
107.6
2026-06-15
7
1
104.4
2026-06-09
9
0
106.6
2026-06-03
9
2
105.4
2026-05-29
9
0
105.4
2026-05-22
9
1
111.9
2026-05-16
9
0
107.3
2026-05-10
9
0
106.3
2026-05-09
9
0
108.5
2026-05-04
9
0
103.8
2026-04-28
9
0
104.2
2026-04-22
9
0
103.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Nick Martinez isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.