8
HRs allowed
19.5%
HR rate (pool)
17.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.42
FIP
3.89
xFIP
+0.53
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
82
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 82th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
84.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.3 EV · 415 ft
max EV allowed 110.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tanner Gordon.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
38.5%
85.8
29.1°
4
+0.9
Slider Breaking
27.0%
83.6
16.8°
3
+0.7
Changeup Offspeed
21.0%
82.5
11.8°
1
+1.4
Curveball Breaking
8.9%
80.9
19.6°
3
+7.3
Sinker Hard
4.5%
94.6
7.6°
1
+8.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups41
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate19.5%
Pool HR/game day1.6
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB17.2% 82
HR/9—
FIP4.42 64
xFIP3.89
FIP − xFIP+0.53 75
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed84.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 38.5% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.8 mph
Avg launch angle29.1°
HRs allowed4
Pitches324
Slider
Breaking · 27.0% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle16.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches227
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.0% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle11.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches177
Curveball
Breaking · 8.9% usage
+7.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle19.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches75
Sinker
Hard · 4.5% usage
+8.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against94.6 mph
Avg launch angle7.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches38
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tanner Gordon.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.3 EV · 415 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 5 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
8
1
108.7
2026-07-05
8
3
110.3
2026-06-30
7
2
110.1
2026-05-31
9
2
108.8
2026-05-25
9
0
105.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tanner Gordon isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.