15
HRs allowed
15.5%
HR rate (pool)
16.8%
Overall HR/FB
4.55
FIP
4.09
xFIP
+0.46
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
76
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 76th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
27.8%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.5 EV · 413 ft
max EV allowed 111.0
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 7 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tanner Gordon.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
43.1%
84.9
29.9°
10
+2.0
Changeup Offspeed
22.3%
82.9
14.2°
2
-0.1
Slider Breaking
20.8%
84.0
16.2°
5
+1.4
Curveball Breaking
9.4%
82.9
21.4°
3
+4.5
Sinker Hard
2.2%
94.6
7.6°
1
+7.9
Cutter Hard
2.1%
81.2
17.4°
0
+0.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups97
HRs allowed (pool)15
Pool HR rate15.5%
Pool HR/game day1.25
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB16.8% 76
HR/9—
FIP4.55 69
xFIP4.09
FIP − xFIP+0.46 74
Barrel% allowed27.8%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Fastball
Hard · 43.1% usage
+2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.9 mph
Avg launch angle29.9°
HRs allowed10
Pitches730
Changeup
Offspeed · 22.3% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle14.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches378
Slider
Breaking · 20.8% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle16.2°
HRs allowed5
Pitches352
Curveball
Breaking · 9.4% usage
+4.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle21.4°
HRs allowed3
Pitches159
Sinker
Hard · 2.2% usage
+7.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against94.6 mph
Avg launch angle7.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches38
Cutter
Hard · 2.1% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle17.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches35
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tanner Gordon.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
15 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 413 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 12 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-24
9
3
109.0
2026-09-17
9
1
108.3
2026-09-12
8
1
111.0
2026-09-06
8
1
108.3
2026-08-31
7
0
99.9
2026-08-26
9
1
109.1
2026-08-21
6
0
103.0
2026-07-10
8
1
108.7
2026-07-05
8
3
110.3
2026-06-30
7
2
110.1
2026-05-31
9
2
108.8
2026-05-25
9
0
105.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tanner Gordon isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Tanner Gordon isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
63
12
19%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
8
1
12%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Tanner Gordon
How many home runs has Tanner Gordon allowed this season?
Tanner Gordon has allowed 15 home runs across 12 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Tanner Gordon?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Tanner Gordon include Manny Machado (2), Rafael Devers (2), Aaron Judge (1) and 26 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.