16
HRs allowed
9.9%
HR rate (pool)
18.0%
Overall HR/FB
4.99
FIP
4.37
xFIP
+0.62
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
82.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 106.3 EV · 403 ft
max EV allowed 114.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Leahy.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
28.6%
89.2
21.8°
4
+1.2
Curveball Breaking
16.1%
85.4
0.7°
1
-0.6
Slider Breaking
16.1%
82.8
17.4°
1
-1.9
Changeup Offspeed
13.4%
82.4
3.7°
1
+0.9
Sinker Hard
13.0%
84.8
7.7°
1
-0.3
Sweeper Breaking
12.8%
80.7
20.8°
1
+1.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups161
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate9.9%
Pool HR/game day0.84
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB18.0% 83
HR/9—
FIP4.99 80
xFIP4.37
FIP − xFIP+0.62 78
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed82.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 28.6% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.2 mph
Avg launch angle21.8°
HRs allowed4
Pitches421
Curveball
Breaking · 16.1% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.4 mph
Avg launch angle0.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches238
Slider
Breaking · 16.1% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle17.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches238
Changeup
Offspeed · 13.4% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.4 mph
Avg launch angle3.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches197
Sinker
Hard · 13.0% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle7.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches192
Sweeper
Breaking · 12.8% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle20.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches188
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Leahy.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 106.3 EV · 403 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
7
0
107.0
2026-07-04
8
0
106.1
2026-06-28
8
0
106.0
2026-06-23
7
0
107.6
2026-06-17
7
1
106.2
2026-06-12
8
4
108.5
2026-06-05
8
0
104.3
2026-05-30
9
1
114.6
2026-05-23
9
2
111.7
2026-05-22
9
0
—
2026-05-16
9
1
113.4
2026-05-10
9
1
105.8
2026-05-04
9
1
111.9
2026-04-28
9
2
106.6
2026-04-22
9
0
110.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kyle Leahy isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.