8
HRs allowed
13.6%
HR rate (pool)
10.7%
Overall HR/FB
4.27
FIP
4.53
xFIP
-0.26
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
32
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 32th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.3 EV · 393 ft
max EV allowed 113.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Grayson Rodriguez.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
53.9%
86.0
26.3°
3
+1.6
Changeup Offspeed
21.5%
80.9
14.5°
0
-0.6
Curveball Breaking
13.6%
82.8
5.3°
0
+4.9
Slider Breaking
11.0%
81.8
24.2°
1
+2.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups59
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate13.6%
Pool HR/game day1.14
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.7% 32
HR/9—
FIP4.27 59
xFIP4.53
FIP − xFIP-0.26 32
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 53.9% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle26.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches309
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.5% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle14.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches123
Curveball
Breaking · 13.6% usage
+4.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle5.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches78
Slider
Breaking · 11.0% usage
+2.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle24.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches63
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Grayson Rodriguez.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.3 EV · 393 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 7 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
8
0
108.1
2026-06-14
8
2
113.7
2026-06-08
8
0
111.3
2026-06-02
8
3
111.0
2026-05-28
9
1
106.1
2026-05-22
9
2
108.7
2026-05-17
9
0
106.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Grayson Rodriguez isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.