8
HRs allowed
10.7%
HR rate (pool)
9.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.44
FIP
4.76
xFIP
-0.32
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
19
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 19th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.8 EV · 404 ft
max EV allowed 109.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Luinder Avila.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
26.7%
83.5
21.0°
1
+0.5
Sinker Hard
26.0%
85.4
7.2°
0
-0.0
Slider Breaking
21.8%
78.4
13.6°
3
+0.9
Curveball Breaking
15.3%
83.6
13.8°
2
+1.2
Changeup Offspeed
10.2%
84.5
3.3°
0
+1.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups75
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate10.7%
Pool HR/game day0.89
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB9.2% 19
HR/9—
FIP4.44 65
xFIP4.76
FIP − xFIP-0.32 28
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 26.7% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle21.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches282
Sinker
Hard · 26.0% usage
-0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.4 mph
Avg launch angle7.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches275
Slider
Breaking · 21.8% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.4 mph
Avg launch angle13.6°
HRs allowed3
Pitches230
Curveball
Breaking · 15.3% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle13.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches162
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.2% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle3.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches108
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Luinder Avila.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.8 EV · 404 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
9
2
105.9
2026-07-05
8
0
108.1
2026-06-28
7
1
107.8
2026-06-23
9
1
109.3
2026-06-17
8
0
104.6
2026-06-12
8
3
108.7
2026-06-06
8
0
106.2
2026-06-01
9
1
102.2
2026-04-04
9
0
106.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Luinder Avila isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.