10
HRs allowed
9.9%
HR rate (pool)
10.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.46
FIP
4.73
xFIP
-0.27
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
30
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 30th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
12.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
67.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.2 EV · 408 ft
max EV allowed 109.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Luinder Avila.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
27.4%
84.0
8.4°
0
-0.2
Fastball Hard
26.0%
84.0
20.9°
1
+0.6
Slider Breaking
21.7%
80.0
12.2°
4
+1.3
Curveball Breaking
14.7%
83.5
16.6°
2
+1.0
Changeup Offspeed
10.3%
81.9
6.1°
0
+0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups101
HRs allowed (pool)10
Pool HR rate9.9%
Pool HR/game day0.83
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB10.6% 30
HR/9—
FIP4.46 66
xFIP4.73
FIP − xFIP-0.27 29
Barrel% allowed12.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed67.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Sinker
Hard · 27.4% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle8.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches354
Fastball
Hard · 26.0% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle20.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches336
Slider
Breaking · 21.7% usage
+1.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle12.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches280
Curveball
Breaking · 14.7% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle16.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches190
Changeup
Offspeed · 10.3% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle6.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches133
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Luinder Avila.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
10 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 408 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 12 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-01
9
2
104.5
2026-07-26
9
0
105.7
2026-07-21
8
0
101.7
2026-07-10
9
2
105.9
2026-07-05
8
0
108.1
2026-06-28
7
1
107.8
2026-06-23
9
1
109.3
2026-06-17
8
0
104.6
2026-06-12
8
3
108.7
2026-06-06
8
0
106.2
2026-06-01
9
1
102.2
2026-04-04
9
0
106.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Luinder Avila isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Luinder Avila isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
33
3
9%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
7
1
14%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 9. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Luinder Avila
How many home runs has Luinder Avila allowed this season?
Luinder Avila has allowed 10 home runs across 12 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Luinder Avila?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Luinder Avila include Blaze Alexander (1), Brice Matthews (1), Christian Walker (1) and 7 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.