27
HRs allowed
15.0%
HR rate (pool)
15.2%
Overall HR/FB
3.77
FIP
3.67
xFIP
+0.10
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
71
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 71th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.1 EV · 400 ft
max EV allowed 116.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 7 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Shota Imanaga.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
41.0%
83.0
34.2°
11
+0.7
Splitter Offspeed
33.3%
79.4
10.9°
6
-0.6
Sweeper Breaking
14.6%
80.8
23.3°
3
-0.3
Sinker Hard
6.7%
86.5
6.6°
2
-0.2
Curveball Breaking
2.9%
72.6
-15.1°
0
-1.7
Slider Breaking
1.4%
79.9
-7.1°
0
-3.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups180
HRs allowed (pool)27
Pool HR rate15.0%
Pool HR/game day1.29
Top-15 matchups16
HRs to top-155
Overall HR/FB15.2% 71
HR/9—
FIP3.77 38
xFIP3.67
FIP − xFIP+0.10 54
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 41.0% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle34.2°
HRs allowed11
Pitches731
Splitter
Offspeed · 33.3% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.4 mph
Avg launch angle10.9°
HRs allowed6
Pitches594
Sweeper
Breaking · 14.6% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle23.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches261
Sinker
Hard · 6.7% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.5 mph
Avg launch angle6.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches120
Curveball
Breaking · 2.9% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against72.6 mph
Avg launch angle-15.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches51
Slider
Breaking · 1.4% usage
-3.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.9 mph
Avg launch angle-7.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches25
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Shota Imanaga.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
27 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.1 EV · 400 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
9
2
109.2
2026-07-04
9
1
112.1
2026-06-29
8
0
106.4
2026-06-24
9
4
108.4
2026-06-22
7
0
—
2026-06-21
8
0
—
2026-06-15
8
0
111.1
2026-06-10
7
1
104.9
2026-06-04
9
3
109.7
2026-05-29
9
3
109.3
2026-05-24
9
3
105.1
2026-05-18
9
1
106.7
2026-05-13
9
2
106.1
2026-05-07
9
1
116.3
2026-05-02
9
0
104.2
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Shota Imanaga isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.