HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
·
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
46th pctile
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
·
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
4.73
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
73th pctile
4.91
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
·
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
0
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0%
HR Rate
Platoon Story
6
Platoon Edge Bats
2
Same-Side Bats
1
Switch Hitters
2L / 5R
Listed Hands
6 of 8 listed batters have the platoon edge against a LHP.
Ian Happ
Seiya Suzuki
Dansby Swanson
Carson Kelly
Alex Bregman
Nico Hoerner
Today Context
1.05
Park Factor
5.0
Wind MPH · S
13.1%
Bullpen HR Flag
proxy_pa_leaders
Lineup Source
Wrigley Field
Roof open
79°F
Weather 1.0
BP FIP 4.15
Today's Threat Breakdown · 8 batters
SD @ CHC · 8:05p
| # | Batter | Platoon | Tier | Score | Batter HR/FB ?Batter HR/FB for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | Pitcher HR/FB ?Pitcher HR/FB allowed for this matchup. A vs LHH/vs RHH chip means a handedness split is shown; the profile card shows overall HR/FB. | ISO | Context | BvP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 |
LvL
Same
|
🔵 C+ | 62 | 22.2%vs LHP | 11.1%vs LHH | 0.222 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 32 |
SvL
Edge
|
🔵 C+ | 61 | 16.7%vs LHP | 12.5%vs RHH | 0.239 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 58 |
RvL
Edge
|
🟠 C | 55 | 33.3%vs LHP | 12.5%vs RHH | 0.182 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 70 |
RvL
Edge
|
🟠 C | 52 | 20.0%vs LHP | 12.5%vs RHH | 0.165 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 81 |
LvL
Same
|
🟠 C | 50 | 9.1%vs LHP | 11.1%vs LHH | 0.154 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 120 |
RvL
Edge
|
⚪ D | 45 | 15.8%vs LHP | 12.5%vs RHH | 0.116 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 131 |
RvL
Edge
|
⚪ D | 43 | 7.1%vs LHP | 12.5%vs RHH | 0.126 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look | |
| 200 |
RvL
Edge
|
⚪ D | 32 | 11.8%vs LHP | 12.5%vs RHH | 0.100 |
Park 1.05
Wind 5.0 S
Roof open
BP 13.1%
|
first look |
Wrigley Field
HRs Allowed
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 28 | 34.6% | -5.4 | 83.2 | 28.8° | 0 |
| Changeup | 21 | 25.9% | +14.7 | 88.3 | 25.5° | 1 |
All Scored Matchups
No scored matchups yet.