8
HRs allowed
5.0%
HR rate (pool)
16.2%
Overall HR/FB
4.72
FIP
4.82
xFIP
-0.10
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
78
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 78th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.9 EV · 385 ft
max EV allowed 115.3
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Jack Flaherty.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
49.1%
83.8
33.4°
4
-0.2
Slider Breaking
24.5%
82.3
25.2°
4
+0.2
Knuckle Curve Breaking
19.2%
78.5
2.7°
3
+1.9
Sinker Hard
4.5%
84.3
18.4°
0
-0.4
Changeup Offspeed
2.6%
73.3
23.5°
0
+1.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups159
HRs allowed (pool)8
Pool HR rate5.0%
Pool HR/game day0.44
Top-15 matchups11
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB16.2% 78
HR/9—
FIP4.72 73
xFIP4.82
FIP − xFIP-0.10 41
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 49.1% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle33.4°
HRs allowed4
Pitches805
Slider
Breaking · 24.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle25.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches401
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 19.2% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle2.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches315
Sinker
Hard · 4.5% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle18.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches74
Changeup
Offspeed · 2.6% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.3 mph
Avg launch angle23.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches43
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Jack Flaherty.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
8 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.9 EV · 385 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
8
0
104.2
2026-07-04
9
0
104.6
2026-06-28
8
2
105.8
2026-06-12
9
0
106.9
2026-06-07
8
0
107.8
2026-06-02
9
0
111.0
2026-05-28
9
0
110.1
2026-05-22
9
1
110.0
2026-05-17
9
1
105.1
2026-05-12
9
0
107.1
2026-05-06
9
0
105.9
2026-05-01
9
1
108.4
2026-04-25
9
3
115.3
2026-04-20
9
0
108.9
2026-04-15
9
0
113.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Jack Flaherty isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.