2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl
CIN LHB
TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl

LHB
CIN · 44 appearances tracked
2
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
4.5%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
6.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
86.8
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.079
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#21
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
44
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
4
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#148.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
44 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-29 #175 Grant Holmes L/R * 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-27 #244 Huascar Brazobán L/R * 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 #201 Kyle Leahy L/R * 11.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #203 Kyle Leahy L/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-18 #131 Andrew Painter L/R * 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-17 #194 Gavin Williams L/R * 7.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #161 Jake Irvin L/R * 9.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-12 #125 Miles Mikolas L/R * 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #48 Kai-Wei Teng L/R * 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #39 Spencer Arrighetti L/R * 8.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #21 Mike Burrows L/R * 16.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #56 Shota Imanaga L/L * 9.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #100 Colin Rea L/R * 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-05 #69 Jameson Taillon L/R * 12.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-04 #70 Edward Cabrera L/R * 11.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #224 Braxton Ashcraft L/R * 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #228 Carmen Mlodzinski L/R * 5.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #240 Mitch Keller L/R * 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #70 Michael Lorenzen L/R * 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-04-29 #30 Tomoyuki Sugano L/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #138 Keider Montero L/R * 5.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #158 Jack Flaherty L/R 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-04-22 #231 Nick Martinez L/R 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-21 #221 Steven Matz L/L 6.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #268 Bailey Ober L/R 7.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-18 #270 Taj Bradley L/R 6.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #257 Joe Ryan L/R 7.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-16 #112 Landen Roupp L/R 9.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 #81 Robbie Ray L/L 7.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-12 #83 José Soriano L/R 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-11 #84 George Klassen L/R 11.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-10 #147 Jack Kochanowicz L/R 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-09 #52 Max Meyer L/R 8.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-08 #195 Eury Pérez L/R 5.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #175 Sandy Alcantara L/R 6.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #186 Janson Junk L/R 4.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #210 Jack Leiter L/R 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-04 #137 Kumar Rocker L/R 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 #204 Paul Skenes L/R 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-31 #175 Bubba Chandler L/ 9.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-30 #199 Braxton Ashcraft L/R 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-29 #189 Connelly Early L/L 1.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 #84 Sonny Gray · 12.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 #51 Garrett Crochet · 13.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

TJ Friedl's full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, rank trend, HR history, and every signal behind this batter profile.

44 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.171

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.