2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani

RHP LAD
113 matchups scored · 13 game days
4
HRs allowed
3.5%
HR rate (pool)
6.4%
Overall HR/FB
2.24
FIP
3.12
xFIP
-0.87
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 7
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
7
no model flags today
Vulnerability 7th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.6%
65.6%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 105.2 EV · 407 ft max EV allowed 113.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-22 · 1 HR 2026-05-05 · 1 HR 2026-06-10 · 1 HR 2026-07-03 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR ↑ 15D · 1 HR ↑ 30D · 2 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Shohei Ohtani.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 44.6% 84.6 20.4° 4 -1.7
Sweeper Breaking 28.8% 78.7 17.5° 0 -3.0
Curveball Breaking 10.6% 80.0 1.4° 0 +0.1
Splitter Offspeed 8.6% 84.1 -0.9° 0 +1.5
Sinker Hard 5.8% 83.8 7.2° 0 -0.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups113
HRs allowed (pool)4
Pool HR rate3.5%
Pool HR/game day0.31
Top-15 matchups1
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB6.4% 7
HR/9
FIP2.24 3
xFIP3.12
FIP − xFIP-0.87 7
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.6%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 44.6% usage
-1.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.6 mph
Avg launch angle20.4°
HRs allowed4
Pitches634
Sweeper
Breaking · 28.8% usage
-3.0 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.7 mph
Avg launch angle17.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches409
Curveball
Breaking · 10.6% usage
+0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle1.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches150
Splitter
Offspeed · 8.6% usage
+1.5 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle-0.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches122
Sinker
Hard · 5.8% usage
-0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle7.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Shohei Ohtani.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
4 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.2 EV · 407 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-03 Jackson Merrill #125 42 Dodger Stadium 106.1 32.0° 423
2026-06-10 Spencer Horwitz #124 43 PNC Park 101.5 32.0° 402
2026-05-05 Christian Walker #19 66 Minute Maid Park 107.2 39.0° 395.0
2026-04-22 Patrick Bailey #257 9 Oracle Park 106.0 23.0° 407.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 13 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-03 Dodger Stadium 7 1 106.1
2026-06-24 Target Field 9 0 108.0
2026-06-17 Dodger Stadium 8 0 108.8
2026-06-10 PNC Park 8 1 104.6
2026-06-03 Chase Field 9 0 105.9
2026-05-27 Dodger Stadium 9 0 99.6
2026-05-20 Petco Park 9 0 107.6
2026-05-13 Dodger Stadium 9 0 109.3
2026-05-05 Minute Maid Park 9 1 113.4
2026-04-28 Dodger Stadium 9 0 106.4
2026-04-22 Oracle Park 9 1 110.3
2026-04-08 Rogers Centre 9 0 111.2
2026-03-31 Dodger Stadium 9 0 108.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Shohei Ohtani isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Shohei Ohtani's full pitcher profile is waiting

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113 more waiting in the on-deck circle
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