⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Patrick Bailey

Patrick Bailey

SHB
SF · 51 appearances tracked
2
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
3.9%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
3.4%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
90.1
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.054
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#39
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
51
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
2
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#184.1
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
51 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #105 Ryan Feltner S/R * 12.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #157 Tyler Samaniego S/L * 7.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #117 Michael Lorenzen S/L * 11.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #193 Eduardo Rodriguez S/L * 7.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #141 Cade Cavalli S/L * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-25 #94 PJ Poulin S/L * 9.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-23 #170 Zack Wheeler S/R * 10.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #213 Davis Martin S/R * 8.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-21 #112 Casey Mize S/R * 3.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 💥
2026-05-19 #204 Ryne Nelson S/R * 5.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-18 #214 Zac Gallen S/R * 4.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-17 #229 Brady Singer S/R * 9.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-16 #195 Luis Severino S/R * 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 #227 Andrew Abbott S/L * 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #207 Aaron Civale S/L * 6.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #238 Shohei Ohtani S/R * 7.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 #209 Yoshinobu Yamamoto S/R * 8.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-11 #39 Roki Sasaki S/R * 8.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-10 #238 Bubba Chandler S/R * 6.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-09 #256 Braxton Ashcraft S/R * 5.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #242 Carmen Mlodzinski S/R * 5.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #257 Matt Waldron S/R * 8.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #204 Walker Buehler S/R * 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-04 #186 Randy Vásquez S/R * 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #121 Steven Matz S/L * 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #115 Griffin Jax S/R * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #191 Shane McClanahan S/L * 7.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #93 Cristopher Sánchez S/L * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-29 #138 Cristopher Sánchez S/L * 10.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #96 Jesús Luzardo S/L * 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #267 Max Meyer S/R * 7.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-25 #260 Eury Pérez S/R 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-23 #149 Tyler Glasnow S/R 6.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #257 Shohei Ohtani S/R 6.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-21 #237 Yoshinobu Yamamoto S/R 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 #168 PJ Poulin L/L 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 #220 Cade Cavalli L/R 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #220 Zack Littell S/R 10.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-16 #71 Chase Burns S/R 11.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #187 Chris Bassitt S/R 6.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-10 #189 Shane Baz S/R 6.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-08 #212 Aaron Nola S/R 4.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #231 Cristopher Sánchez S/L 3.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #181 Andrew Painter S/R 4.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #233 Kodai Senga S/R 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-04 #197 Clay Holmes S/R 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 #50 David Peterson S/L 5.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 #231 Nick Pivetta S/R 6.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-31 #204 Germán Márquez S/R 7.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-30 #198 Walker Buehler S/R 7.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 #224 Will Warren · 6.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

Patrick Bailey's full profile is waiting

Create an account or upgrade to see the complete rank trend, HR history, matchup log, and every signal behind this batter profile.

47 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.70

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.