Patrick Bailey
SHB
CLE
· 90 appearances tracked
6
HRs
6.7%
HR Rate
6.0%
Avg HR/FB
90.1
Avg EV
0.072
ISO
#39
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-30
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
54.4%
4
Breaking
26.1%
2
Offspeed
19.4%
1
All
100%
6.4%
7
25.1%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon Edge
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
25.1
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
90 tracked · 6 HR · 2 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 28
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
102.9
3 BIP
Aug 25
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
0
—
—
Aug 24
@ LAA · George Klassen
0
—
—
Aug 22
@ COL · Gabriel Hughes
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 20
vs SF · Landen Roupp
2
104.1
2 BIP
Aug 18
vs SF · Carson Whisenhunt
3
106.2
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs SD · Wandy Peralta
3
102.7
3 BIP
Aug 14
vs SD · Michael King
3
92.9
3 BIP
Aug 11
@ DET · Drew Anderson
2
84.9
2 BIP
Aug 9
@ CWS · Davis Martin
2
99.8
2 BIP
Aug 6
vs NYM · Nolan McLean
3
94.6
3 BIP
Aug 5
vs NYM · Christian Scott
3
106.9
3 BIP
Aug 2
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
2
105.4
HR
2 BIP
Jul 29
@ CIN · Brady Singer
3
92.8
3 BIP
Jul 28
@ CIN · Chase Burns
4
101.6
4 BIP
Jul 27
@ CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Jul 25
@ TB · Nick Martinez
1
92.9
1 BIP
Jul 23
vs MIN · Taj Bradley
3
109.2
HR
3 BIP
Jul 22
vs MIN · Bailey Ober
3
106.6
3 BIP
Jul 20
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
5
103.9
HR
5 BIP
Jul 19
vs PIT · Paul Skenes
1
103.3
1 BIP
Jul 18
vs PIT · Jared Jones
4
99.1
4 BIP
Jul 12
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
106.5
4 BIP
Jul 11
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
2
98.6
2 BIP
Jul 9
@ MIN · Bailey Ober
3
103.1
HR
3 BIP
Jul 7
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
0
—
—
Jul 5
vs CWS · Chris Murphy
3
102.1
3 BIP
Jul 2
vs CWS · Davis Martin
3
107.0
3 BIP
Jun 30
vs TEX · Jacob deGrom
2
98.3
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
3
97.2
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
1
87.1
1 BIP
Jun 24
@ CWS · Erick Fedde
3
102.0
3 BIP
Jun 21
@ HOU · Kai-Wei Teng
1
99.8
1 BIP
Jun 20
@ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
4
101.1
4 BIP
Jun 19
@ HOU · Tatsuya Imai
1
91.9
1 BIP
Jun 17
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
1
75.9
1 BIP
Jun 12
vs DET · Jack Flaherty
2
103.4
2 BIP
Jun 8
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
100.9
3 BIP
Jun 7
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
98.2
4 BIP
Jun 6
@ TEX · Jack Leiter
4
107.7
4 BIP
Jun 3
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
75.4
1 BIP
Jun 2
@ NYY · Cam Schlittler
2
103.5
2 BIP
May 30
vs SF · Ryan Feltner
0
—
—
May 29
vs SF · Michael Lorenzen
3
100.2
3 BIP
May 26
vs WSH · Cade Cavalli
0
—
—
May 25
vs WSH · PJ Poulin
3
101.2
3 BIP
May 23
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
1
81.5
1 BIP
May 22
vs CWS · Davis Martin
0
—
—
May 21
@ DET · Casey Mize
3
104.0
HR
3 BIP
May 19
vs SF · Ryne Nelson
0
—
—
May 18
vs SF · Zac Gallen
0
—
—
May 17
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
102.9
4 BIP
May 16
vs SF · Luis Severino
0
—
—
May 15
vs SF · Aaron Civale
1
91.4
1 BIP
May 13
vs SF · Shohei Ohtani
0
—
—
May 12
vs SF · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
2
101.6
2 BIP
May 11
vs SF · Roki Sasaki
0
—
—
May 10
vs PIT · Bubba Chandler
2
88.5
2 BIP
May 9
vs PIT · Braxton Ashcraft
0
—
—
May 8
vs PIT · Carmen Mlodzinski
0
—
—
May 6
vs SD · Matt Waldron
1
82.3
1 BIP
May 5
vs SD · Walker Buehler
0
—
—
May 4
vs SD · Randy Vásquez
0
—
—
May 3
vs SF · Steven Matz
0
—
—
May 2
vs SF · Griffin Jax
2
85.7
2 BIP
May 1
vs SF · Shane McClanahan
2
83.6
2 BIP
Apr 30
vs SF · Cristopher Sánchez
2
103.2
2 BIP
Apr 29
vs SF · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
Apr 28
vs SF · Jesús Luzardo
0
—
—
Apr 26
vs MIA · Max Meyer
3
99.3
3 BIP
Apr 25
vs MIA · Eury Pérez
1
106.3
1 BIP
Apr 23
vs LAD · Tyler Glasnow
3
97.2
3 BIP
Apr 22
vs LAD · Shohei Ohtani
3
106.0
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1
99.0
1 BIP
Apr 19
vs SF · PJ Poulin
2
103.5
2 BIP
Apr 18
vs SF · Cade Cavalli
1
96.2
1 BIP
Apr 17
vs SF · Zack Littell
0
—
—
Apr 16
vs SF · Chase Burns
1
—
1 BIP
Apr 11
vs SF · Chris Bassitt
3
98.2
3 BIP
Apr 10
vs SF · Shane Baz
4
105.2
4 BIP
Apr 8
vs PHI · Aaron Nola
3
99.5
3 BIP
Apr 7
vs PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
0
—
—
Apr 6
vs PHI · Andrew Painter
4
91.8
4 BIP
Apr 5
vs NYM · Kodai Senga
3
95.8
3 BIP
Apr 4
vs NYM · Clay Holmes
3
99.6
3 BIP
Apr 2
vs NYM · David Peterson
0
—
—
Apr 1
vs SF · Nick Pivetta
0
—
—
Mar 31
vs SF · Germán Márquez
3
96.4
3 BIP
Mar 30
vs SF · Walker Buehler
2
83.0
2 BIP
Mar 28
vs NYY · Will Warren
3
95.1
3 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Sun 8/30
Dueness now
2.40×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
5 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
12 gm
since his last HR, Aug 2
Season
6 HR
90 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 5 gaps · median 5 gm · MAD ± 3 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Patrick Bailey
Will Patrick Bailey hit a home run today?
Patrick Bailey is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 6 times in 90 scored games (about 7% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Patrick Bailey hit home runs?
Across 90 scored games this season, Patrick Bailey has 6 home runs — one every 15.0 games, or about 7% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.