MLB Home Run Predictions — July 23, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-07-23: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for July 23, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
7
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
45.0 vs 40.9
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Drake Baldwin | Kyle Hart | 64 | C+ Value |
| #4 | Ty France | Chris Sale | 64 | C+ Value |
| #19 | Ozzie Albies | Kyle Hart | 48 | D Below |
| #32 | Dominic Smith | Kyle Hart | 43 | D Below |
| #51 | Patrick Bailey | Taj Bradley | 38 | D Below |
| #71 | James Outman | Randy Dobnak | 31 | D Below |
| #79 | Isaac Collins | Troy Melton | 27 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Patrick Bailey, James Outman, Isaac Collins
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.