2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Max Muncy 10 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Randy Arozarena 5 HRs · 5 Trent Grisham 5 HRs · 6 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 7 Colton Cowser 4 HRs · 8 Dylan Beavers 4 HRs · 9 Miguel Vargas 4 HRs · 10 Lawrence Butler 4 HRs · 11 Jo Adell 4 HRs · 12 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs 1 Max Muncy 10 HRs · 2 Pete Alonso 6 HRs · 3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 4 Randy Arozarena 5 HRs · 5 Trent Grisham 5 HRs · 6 Jackson Merrill 4 HRs · 7 Colton Cowser 4 HRs · 8 Dylan Beavers 4 HRs · 9 Miguel Vargas 4 HRs · 10 Lawrence Butler 4 HRs · 11 Jo Adell 4 HRs · 12 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs
Carson Palmquist

Carson Palmquist

LHP WSH
33 matchups scored · 4 game days
5
HRs allowed
15.2%
HR rate (pool)
3.4%
Overall HR/FB
3.25
FIP
3.88
xFIP
-0.63
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 3
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
3
no model flags today
Vulnerability 3th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
18.2%
18.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed
65.6%
65.6%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 102.7 EV · 401 ft max EV allowed 108.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-07-10 · 3 HR 2026-07-21 · 2 HR
7D · 0 HR 15D · 2 HR 30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Carson Palmquist.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sweeper Breaking 41.9% 73.7 16.1° 0 +0.4
Sinker Hard 32.6% 83.8 7.0° 0 +0.9
Fastball Hard 15.7% 78.5 33.0° 1 +6.1
Cutter Hard 9.9% 67.8 18.4° 0 -2.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups33
HRs allowed (pool)5
Pool HR rate15.2%
Pool HR/game day1.25
Top-15 matchups4
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB3.4% 3
HR/9
FIP3.25 20
xFIP3.88
FIP − xFIP-0.63 12
Barrel% allowed18.2%
Hard-Hit% allowed65.6%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-24
Sweeper
Breaking · 41.9% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against73.7 mph
Avg launch angle16.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches131
Sinker
Hard · 32.6% usage
+0.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.8 mph
Avg launch angle7.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches102
Fastball
Hard · 15.7% usage
+6.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle33.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches49
Cutter
Hard · 9.9% usage
-2.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against67.8 mph
Avg launch angle18.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches31
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Carson Palmquist.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
5 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.7 EV · 401 ft 5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-21 Hunter Goodman #6 71 Coors Field 95.4 32.0° 399
2026-07-21 Mickey Moniak #18 60 Coors Field 101.2 38.0° 421
2026-07-10 Ben Rice #11 63 Nationals Park 102.0 29.0° 387
2026-07-10 Jasson Domínguez #156 39 Nationals Park 105.8 34.0° 409
2026-07-10 Austin Wells #203 32 Nationals Park 108.9 23.0° 387
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 4 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-04 Citizens Bank Park 8 0 108.8
2026-07-24 Nationals Park 8 0 103.8
2026-07-21 Coors Field 9 2 104.8
2026-07-10 Nationals Park 8 3 108.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Carson Palmquist isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Carson Palmquist isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Nationals Park 16 3 19%
Coors Field 9 2 22%
Citizens Bank Park 8 0 0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Six home runs to freedom

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Common questions about Carson Palmquist

How many home runs has Carson Palmquist allowed this season?

Carson Palmquist has allowed 5 home runs across 4 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Carson Palmquist?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Carson Palmquist include Austin Wells (1), Ben Rice (1), Bryce Harper (1) and 10 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.161 · build 666

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