14
HRs allowed
6.7%
HR rate (pool)
14.1%
Overall HR/FB
4.93
FIP
5.11
xFIP
-0.18
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
61
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 61th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
13.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.1%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.6 EV · 393 ft
max EV allowed 112.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 1 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Bubba Chandler.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
48.1%
83.3
31.8°
6
+0.3
Slider Breaking
21.2%
83.2
8.2°
3
-0.3
Changeup Offspeed
15.2%
82.9
10.2°
1
-0.5
Sinker Hard
7.2%
83.6
17.8°
0
-1.5
Sweeper Breaking
4.6%
81.6
20.2°
0
-0.2
Curveball Breaking
3.7%
88.6
15.5°
1
+2.7
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups209
HRs allowed (pool)14
Pool HR rate6.7%
Pool HR/game day0.56
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB14.1% 61
HR/9—
FIP4.93 80
xFIP5.11
FIP − xFIP-0.18 34
Barrel% allowed13.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.1%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Fastball
Hard · 48.1% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle31.8°
HRs allowed6
Pitches1079
Slider
Breaking · 21.2% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle8.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches476
Changeup
Offspeed · 15.2% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle10.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches342
Sinker
Hard · 7.2% usage
-1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle17.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches162
Sweeper
Breaking · 4.6% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle20.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches104
Curveball
Breaking · 3.7% usage
+2.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.6 mph
Avg launch angle15.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Bubba Chandler.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
14 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.6 EV · 393 ft
1 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-26
9
0
106.5
2026-08-21
7
1
112.9
2026-08-14
9
0
105.0
2026-08-08
7
0
101.7
2026-08-03
9
0
109.2
2026-07-28
9
0
111.4
2026-07-22
7
1
108.2
2026-07-21
7
0
—
2026-07-11
8
1
111.8
2026-07-05
8
1
106.7
2026-06-30
7
1
110.4
2026-06-25
8
0
105.1
2026-06-19
8
1
105.7
2026-06-13
7
0
102.8
2026-06-02
9
1
107.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Bubba Chandler isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Bubba Chandler isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
93
4
4%
9
2
22%
14
1
7%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 14. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Bubba Chandler
How many home runs has Bubba Chandler allowed this season?
Bubba Chandler has allowed 14 home runs across 25 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Bubba Chandler?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Bubba Chandler include Alec Burleson (1), Bryce Harper (1), Corey Seager (1) and 10 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.