15
HRs allowed
10.1%
HR rate (pool)
15.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.96
FIP
4.05
xFIP
-0.09
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
71
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 71th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
70.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.3 EV · 405 ft
max EV allowed 115.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 9 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Noah Cameron.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
27.7%
85.0
31.0°
2
+0.2
Changeup Offspeed
21.0%
78.6
14.1°
3
-0.1
Cutter Hard
19.9%
82.7
17.6°
1
-0.2
Curveball Breaking
17.3%
80.7
1.7°
1
-0.5
Slider Breaking
10.0%
85.5
13.6°
4
+2.7
Sinker Hard
4.2%
86.0
4.6°
2
+7.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups148
HRs allowed (pool)15
Pool HR rate10.1%
Pool HR/game day0.88
Top-15 matchups10
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB15.3% 71
HR/9—
FIP3.96 46
xFIP4.05
FIP − xFIP-0.09 42
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed70.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 27.7% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle31.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches458
Changeup
Offspeed · 21.0% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.6 mph
Avg launch angle14.1°
HRs allowed3
Pitches347
Cutter
Hard · 19.9% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.7 mph
Avg launch angle17.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches330
Curveball
Breaking · 17.3% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.7 mph
Avg launch angle1.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches286
Slider
Breaking · 10.0% usage
+2.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.5 mph
Avg launch angle13.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches165
Sinker
Hard · 4.2% usage
+7.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.0 mph
Avg launch angle4.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches69
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Noah Cameron.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
15 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.3 EV · 405 ft
9 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-11
9
4
112.8
2026-07-06
8
0
106.4
2026-06-30
9
2
114.1
2026-06-24
9
0
111.3
2026-06-18
8
0
109.9
2026-06-13
7
3
108.9
2026-06-07
8
1
112.4
2026-06-02
9
1
106.3
2026-05-27
9
1
104.9
2026-05-22
9
0
113.0
2026-05-16
9
0
106.3
2026-05-10
9
0
105.1
2026-04-30
9
0
115.9
2026-04-24
9
0
110.9
2026-04-18
9
2
105.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Noah Cameron isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.