23
HRs allowed
12.0%
HR rate (pool)
21.3%
Overall HR/FB
4.71
FIP
4.09
xFIP
+0.62
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
74.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.5 EV · 395 ft
max EV allowed 115.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tanner Bibee.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
24.6%
83.6
23.1°
9
-0.2
Sinker Hard
23.5%
85.1
9.6°
4
-0.6
Fastball Hard
22.6%
85.6
22.2°
4
+0.2
Changeup Offspeed
14.5%
78.5
22.4°
1
-0.3
Curveball Breaking
11.0%
79.3
5.7°
4
+0.7
Sweeper Breaking
3.9%
80.0
17.8°
0
-1.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups191
HRs allowed (pool)23
Pool HR rate12.0%
Pool HR/game day1.05
Top-15 matchups20
HRs to top-153
Overall HR/FB21.3% 89
HR/9—
FIP4.71 73
xFIP4.09
FIP − xFIP+0.62 79
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed74.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-29
Cutter
Hard · 24.6% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle23.1°
HRs allowed9
Pitches497
Sinker
Hard · 23.5% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.1 mph
Avg launch angle9.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches476
Fastball
Hard · 22.6% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.6 mph
Avg launch angle22.2°
HRs allowed4
Pitches457
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.5% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle22.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches293
Curveball
Breaking · 11.0% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.3 mph
Avg launch angle5.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches222
Sweeper
Breaking · 3.9% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle17.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches78
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tanner Bibee.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
23 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 395 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-25
8
0
110.8
2026-07-20
8
0
107.5
2026-07-11
9
0
103.9
2026-07-05
9
3
109.7
2026-06-30
9
2
108.1
2026-06-24
7
0
106.0
2026-06-19
7
1
109.5
2026-06-12
9
2
107.5
2026-06-06
9
0
105.2
2026-05-31
9
1
107.9
2026-05-25
9
5
109.8
2026-05-20
9
0
106.7
2026-05-15
9
1
112.2
2026-05-09
9
1
107.1
2026-05-04
9
2
107.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tanner Bibee isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Tanner Bibee isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
107
18
17%
9
2
22%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
7
1
14%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 11. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.