26
HRs allowed
11.0%
HR rate (pool)
16.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.05
FIP
3.95
xFIP
+0.10
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
76
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 76th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
16.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.3 EV · 396 ft
max EV allowed 114.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Bradish.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
36.2%
84.1
17.8°
4
-0.4
Slider Breaking
24.3%
80.3
11.4°
10
+1.2
Curveball Breaking
21.7%
85.6
4.3°
4
+0.5
Fastball Hard
17.3%
82.2
18.3°
2
+0.3
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups237
HRs allowed (pool)26
Pool HR rate11.0%
Pool HR/game day0.93
Top-15 matchups27
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB16.9% 76
HR/9—
FIP4.05 49
xFIP3.95
FIP − xFIP+0.10 53
Barrel% allowed16.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-17
Sinker
Hard · 36.2% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle17.8°
HRs allowed4
Pitches978
Slider
Breaking · 24.3% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.3 mph
Avg launch angle11.4°
HRs allowed10
Pitches657
Curveball
Breaking · 21.7% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.6 mph
Avg launch angle4.3°
HRs allowed4
Pitches586
Fastball
Hard · 17.3% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle18.3°
HRs allowed2
Pitches468
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Bradish.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
26 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.3 EV · 396 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-09-12
8
2
106.8
2026-09-06
9
1
106.8
2026-09-01
7
1
105.3
2026-08-26
9
1
109.9
2026-08-20
8
2
111.6
2026-08-15
9
0
106.6
2026-08-08
9
1
107.7
2026-08-02
7
1
105.5
2026-07-27
9
0
110.0
2026-07-22
8
1
108.8
2026-07-21
9
0
—
2026-07-11
8
0
107.4
2026-07-05
9
1
106.5
2026-06-28
8
0
108.9
2026-06-22
9
1
106.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kyle Bradish isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Kyle Bradish isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
109
11
10%
16
3
19%
9
2
22%
7
2
29%
18
1
6%
17
1
6%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 13. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Kyle Bradish
How many home runs has Kyle Bradish allowed this season?
Kyle Bradish has allowed 26 home runs across 28 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Kyle Bradish?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Kyle Bradish include Ben Rice (2), Cole Young (2), Dominic Canzone (2) and 24 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.