2026
Victor Mesa Jr.

Victor Mesa Jr.

TB · 26 appearances tracked
4 HRs
15.4% HR Rate
19.5% Avg HR/FB
88.7 Avg EV
0.196 ISO
#10 Best Rank
as of 2026-10-17
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet. The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-10-16
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 58.2%
12.7%
8
19.1%
Breaking 26.4%
8.2%
4
23.2%
Offspeed 15.3%
9.1%
2
17.5%
All 100% 10.9% 14 19.9%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed. K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers 0 of 4 active
Ballpark — Pitcher form — Platoon — Weather —
Edge by rate · batter ● vs pitcher-allowed ●
K% 19.9 vs —
19.9
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days 4 this season · avg 409 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Sep 11 vs HOU · Ethan Pecko — 106.0 415
Sep 20 vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval — 103.9 403
HR by month
2
Sep
All Appearances 26 tracked · 4 HR · 14 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Sep 27 @ PHI · Zack Wheeler 2 101.6 2 BIP
Sep 26 @ PHI · Aaron Nola 5 102.5 5 BIP
Sep 24 @ NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 104.5 3 BIP
Sep 23 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 83.2 3 BIP
Sep 20 vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval 2 103.9 HR 2 BIP
Sep 19 vs BOS · Brayan Bello 1 67.9 1 BIP
Sep 18 vs BOS · Ranger Suarez 2 105.1 2 BIP
Sep 16 vs ATH · Brady Basso 3 103.5 3 BIP
Sep 15 vs ATH · Jack Perkins 3 101.1 3 BIP
Sep 13 vs HOU · Hayden Wesneski 4 107.1 4 BIP
Sep 12 vs HOU · Peter Lambert 1 105.7 1 BIP
Sep 11 vs HOU · Miguel Ullola 2 106.0 HR 2 BIP
Sep 9 @ ATL · Reynaldo López 3 105.4 HR 3 BIP
Sep 8 @ ATL · AJ Smith-Shawver 5 102.4 5 BIP
Sep 6 @ TEX · MacKenzie Gore 4 99.6 4 BIP
Sep 5 @ TEX · Jacob deGrom 3 97.2 3 BIP
Sep 2 vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy 4 95.4 4 BIP
Sep 1 vs NYM · Sean Manaea 4 101.6 4 BIP
Aug 18 vs TOR · José Soriano 0 — —
Aug 14 vs BAL · Chris Bassitt 3 99.5 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs DET · Troy Melton 2 104.8 2 BIP
Jun 2 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 2 78.4 2 BIP
Jun 1 vs DET · Ty Madden 2 99.2 2 BIP
May 31 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 2 100.7 2 BIP
May 26 @ BAL · Shane Baz 2 85.1 2 BIP
May 25 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 5 105.9 HR 5 BIP
Ballpark park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.

Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.

⚾
Six home runs to freedom

Victor Mesa Jr.'s full profile is waiting

Upgrade to see today’s matchup, HR profile, pitch analysis, HR history, ballpark conditions, the dueness calendar, and every signal behind this batter profile.

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.
26 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Victor Mesa Jr.

Will Victor Mesa Jr. hit a home run today?

Victor Mesa Jr. is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 4 times in 26 scored games (about 15% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit home runs?

Across 26 scored games this season, Victor Mesa Jr. has 4 home runs — one every 6.5 games, or about 15% of his scored games.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
⚾

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.