MLB Home Run Predictions — May 25, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-25: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 25, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
32
HRs by scored batters
3/5
Top-5 picks that homered
4/15
Top-15 picks that homered
51.2 vs 41.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Kyle Schwarber | Griffin Canning | 80 | A Excellent |
| #3 | Luke Raley | Aaron Civale | 78 | B AboveAvg |
| #5 | James Wood | Tanner Bibee | 75 | B AboveAvg |
| #13 | Shea Langeliers | Luis Castillo | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #32 | Munetaka Murakami | Zebby Matthews | 62 | C+ Value |
| #33 | CJ Abrams | Tanner Bibee | 62 | C+ Value |
| #34 | Christian Walker | Kumar Rocker | 62 | C+ Value |
| #35 | Jonathan Aranda | Kyle Bradish | 61 | C+ Value |
| #37 | JJ Bleday | Nolan McLean | 61 | C+ Value |
| #43 | Christian Yelich | Matthew Liberatore | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #46 | Randy Arozarena | Aaron Civale | 58 | C BelowAvg |
| #49 | Dominic Canzone | Aaron Civale | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #53 | Jacob Young | Tanner Bibee | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #56 | Yordan Alvarez | Kumar Rocker | 56 | C BelowAvg |
| #62 | Rhys Hoskins | PJ Poulin | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #73 | Drew Romo | Zebby Matthews | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #88 | Curtis Mead | Tanner Bibee | 47 | D Below |
| #89 | J. P. Crawford | Aaron Civale | 47 | D Below |
| #92 | Salvador Perez | Will Warren | 46 | D Below |
| #97 | Brooks Lee | Anthony Kay | 45 | D Below |
| #101 | Marcus Semien | Nick Lodolo | 45 | D Below |
| #105 | Michael Busch | Carmen Mlodzinski | 44 | D Below |
| #116 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Will Warren | 42 | D Below |
| #122 | Luis García Jr. | Tanner Bibee | 41 | D Below |
| #131 | Cody Bellinger | Michael Wacha | 40 | D Below |
| #147 | Ezequiel Tovar | Emmet Sheehan | 38 | D Below |
| #150 | Ernie Clement | Janson Junk | 37 | D Below |
| #163 | Henry Davis | Ben Brown | 34 | D Below |
| #164 | Victor Mesa Jr. | Kyle Bradish | 34 | D Below |
| #167 | Tyler Stephenson | Nolan McLean | 34 | D Below |
| #170 | Gabriel Moreno | Landen Roupp | 33 | D Below |
| #195 | Brandon Marsh | Griffin Canning | 28 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jacob Young, Yordan Alvarez, Rhys Hoskins, Drew Romo, Curtis Mead, J. P. Crawford, Salvador Perez, Brooks Lee, Marcus Semien, Michael Busch, Bobby Witt Jr., Luis García Jr., Cody Bellinger, Ezequiel Tovar, Ernie Clement, Henry Davis, Victor Mesa Jr., Tyler Stephenson, Gabriel Moreno, Brandon Marsh
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.