MLB Home Run Predictions — May 24, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-24: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 24, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
24
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
50.0 vs 42.5
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #11 | Dillon Dingler | Brandon Young | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #13 | Aaron Judge | Drew Rasmussen | 72 | B AboveAvg |
| #19 | Dillon Dingler | Trevor Rogers | 68 | C+ Value |
| #26 | Miguel Vargas | Robbie Ray | 65 | C+ Value |
| #33 | Gunnar Henderson | Troy Melton | 62 | C+ Value |
| #44 | Christian Walker | Shota Imanaga | 60 | C+ Value |
| #46 | Casey Schmitt | Noah Schultz | 60 | C+ Value |
| #52 | Jake Burger | Reid Detmers | 59 | C BelowAvg |
| #58 | Gunnar Henderson | Framber Valdez | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #85 | Andy Pages | Brandon Sproat | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #89 | Colton Cowser | Troy Melton | 49 | D Below |
| #90 | Willson Contreras | Bailey Ober | 49 | D Below |
| #98 | Oneil Cruz | Dylan Cease | 48 | D Below |
| #101 | Travis Bazzana | Andrew Painter | 48 | D Below |
| #103 | Ty France | Luis Medina | 48 | D Below |
| #111 | Michael Busch | Peter Lambert | 47 | D Below |
| #118 | Julio Rodríguez | Seth Lugo | 46 | D Below |
| #127 | Rafael Devers | Noah Schultz | 45 | D Below |
| #143 | Spencer Horwitz | Dylan Cease | 42 | D Below |
| #175 | Jake Meyers | Shota Imanaga | 38 | D Below |
| #177 | Chase Meidroth | Robbie Ray | 38 | D Below |
| #187 | Carlos Cortes | Michael King | 37 | D Below |
| #237 | Masataka Yoshida | Bailey Ober | 28 | D Below |
| #284 | Nick Allen | Shota Imanaga | 12 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jake Burger, Gunnar Henderson, Andy Pages, Colton Cowser, Willson Contreras, Oneil Cruz, Travis Bazzana, Ty France, Michael Busch, Julio Rodríguez, Rafael Devers, Spencer Horwitz, Jake Meyers, Chase Meidroth, Carlos Cortes, Masataka Yoshida, Nick Allen
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.