2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Edward Cabrera

Edward Cabrera

RHP CHC
122 matchups scored · 14 game days
16
HRs allowed
13.1%
HR rate (pool)
19.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.34
FIP
3.98
xFIP
+0.36
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 87
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
87
no model flags today
Vulnerability 87th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.5%
75.5%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 103.5 EV · 392 ft max EV allowed 115.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-23 · 1 HR 2026-04-28 · 1 HR 2026-05-04 · 1 HR 2026-05-09 · 2 HR 2026-05-15 · 3 HR 2026-06-05 · 3 HR 2026-06-11 · 1 HR 2026-06-16 · 1 HR 2026-06-23 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR ↑ 15D · 4 HR ↑ 30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Edward Cabrera.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Changeup Offspeed 30.4% 83.7 -1.4° 2 +0.1
Sinker Hard 21.8% 87.4 18.3° 3 -0.1
Curveball Breaking 19.2% 82.8 -0.6° 4 -0.2
Fastball Hard 17.0% 87.8 32.3° 6 +3.4
Slider Breaking 11.6% 80.6 19.4° 2 +0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups122
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate13.1%
Pool HR/game day1.14
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB19.6% 87
HR/9
FIP4.34 62
xFIP3.98
FIP − xFIP+0.36 68
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.5%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Changeup
Offspeed · 30.4% usage
+0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle-1.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches391
Sinker
Hard · 21.8% usage
-0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.4 mph
Avg launch angle18.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches280
Curveball
Breaking · 19.2% usage
-0.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle-0.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches247
Fastball
Hard · 17.0% usage
+3.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle32.3°
HRs allowed6
Pitches219
Slider
Breaking · 11.6% usage
+0.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.6 mph
Avg launch angle19.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches149
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Edward Cabrera.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.5 EV · 392 ft 7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-06-23 Francisco Alvarez #95 49 Citi Field 105.2 26.0° 403
2026-06-23 Bo Bichette #105 46 Citi Field 102.5 23.0° 388
2026-06-16 TJ Rumfield #98 49 Wrigley Field 96.0 36.0° 385
2026-06-11 Brett Sullivan #71 44 Coors Field 103.7 24.0° 388
2026-06-05 Casey Schmitt #8 75 Wrigley Field 101.9 37.0° 424
2026-06-05 Willy Adames #33 63 Wrigley Field 102.5 40.0° 388
2026-06-05 Matt Chapman #119 44 Wrigley Field 109.6 26.0° 432
2026-05-15 Colson Montgomery #21 75 Rate Field 104.0 33.0° 381.0
2026-05-15 Miguel Vargas #24 72 Rate Field 101.8 26.0° 348.0
2026-05-15 Jarred Kelenic #118 47 Rate Field 106.8 29.0° 446.0
2026-05-09 Josh Jung #68 36 Globe Life Field 101.8 25.0° 389.0
2026-05-09 Jake Burger #143 26 Globe Life Field 107.0 28.0° 420.0
2026-05-04 Ke'Bryan Hayes #59 39 Wrigley Field 103.5 22.0° 366.0
2026-04-28 Xander Bogaerts #171 30 Petco Park 108.3 40.0° 389.0
2026-04-23 Brandon Marsh #40 48 Wrigley Field 98.3 39.0° 339.0
2026-03-30 Yoan Moncada #54 48 Wrigley Field 103.3 31.0° 379.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 14 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-23 Citi Field 8 2 105.2
2026-06-16 Wrigley Field 8 1 107.5
2026-06-11 Coors Field 8 1 108.3
2026-06-05 Wrigley Field 8 3 109.6
2026-05-20 Wrigley Field 9 0 106.1
2026-05-15 Rate Field 9 3 106.8
2026-05-09 Globe Life Field 9 2 107.0
2026-05-04 Wrigley Field 9 1 107.4
2026-04-28 Petco Park 9 1 111.9
2026-04-23 Wrigley Field 9 1 107.5
2026-04-17 Wrigley Field 9 0 111.9
2026-04-11 Wrigley Field 9 0 115.4
2026-04-05 Progressive Field 9 0 111.6
2026-03-30 Wrigley Field 9 1 107.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Edward Cabrera isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Edward Cabrera's full pitcher profile is waiting

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