2026
Edward Cabrera

Edward Cabrera

RHP CHC
130 matchups scored · 15 game days
18
HRs allowed
13.8%
HR rate (pool)
20.4%
Overall HR/FB
4.41
FIP
3.98
xFIP
+0.43
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 86
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
86
no model flags today
Vulnerability 86th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
22.3%
22.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed
76.4%
76.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
—
avg HR 103.8 EV · 394 ft max EV allowed 115.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-23 · 1 HR 2026-04-28 · 1 HR 2026-05-04 · 1 HR 2026-05-09 · 2 HR 2026-05-15 · 3 HR 2026-06-05 · 3 HR 2026-06-11 · 1 HR 2026-06-16 · 1 HR 2026-06-23 · 2 HR 2026-08-16 · 2 HR
7D · 2 HR ↑ 15D · 2 HR ↑ 30D · 2 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Edward Cabrera.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups130
HRs allowed (pool)18
Pool HR rate13.8%
Pool HR/game day1.2
Top-15 matchups13
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB20.4% 86
HR/9—
FIP4.41 65
xFIP3.98
FIP − xFIP+0.43 73
Barrel% allowed22.3%
Hard-Hit% allowed76.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-10-18
No arsenal data cached for this pitcher.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Edward Cabrera.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
18 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.8 EV · 394 ft 2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-08-16 Alec Burleson #10 62 Wrigley Field 105.8 33.0° 421
2026-08-16 Jordan Walker #17 61 Wrigley Field 106.6 23.0° 413
2026-06-23 Francisco Alvarez #95 49 Citi Field 105.2 26.0° 403
2026-06-23 Bo Bichette #105 46 Citi Field 102.5 23.0° 388
2026-06-16 TJ Rumfield #98 49 Wrigley Field 96.0 36.0° 385
2026-06-11 Brett Sullivan #71 44 Coors Field 103.7 24.0° 388
2026-06-05 Casey Schmitt #8 75 Wrigley Field 101.9 37.0° 424
2026-06-05 Willy Adames #33 63 Wrigley Field 102.5 40.0° 388
2026-06-05 Matt Chapman #119 44 Wrigley Field 109.6 26.0° 432
2026-05-15 Colson Montgomery #21 75 Rate Field 104.0 33.0° 381.0
2026-05-15 Miguel Vargas #24 72 Rate Field 101.8 26.0° 348.0
2026-05-15 Jarred Kelenic #118 47 Rate Field 106.8 29.0° 446.0
2026-05-09 Josh Jung #68 36 Globe Life Field 101.8 25.0° 389.0
2026-05-09 Jake Burger #143 26 Globe Life Field 107.0 28.0° 420.0
2026-05-04 Ke'Bryan Hayes #59 39 Wrigley Field 103.5 22.0° 366.0
2026-04-28 Xander Bogaerts #171 30 Petco Park 108.3 40.0° 389.0
2026-04-23 Brandon Marsh #40 48 Wrigley Field 98.3 39.0° 339.0
2026-03-30 Yoan Moncada #54 48 Wrigley Field 103.3 31.0° 379.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-16 Wrigley Field 8 2 107.7
2026-06-23 Citi Field 8 2 105.2
2026-06-16 Wrigley Field 8 1 107.5
2026-06-11 Coors Field 8 1 108.3
2026-06-05 Wrigley Field 8 3 109.6
2026-05-20 Wrigley Field 9 0 106.1
2026-05-15 Rate Field 9 3 106.8
2026-05-09 Globe Life Field 9 2 107.0
2026-05-04 Wrigley Field 9 1 107.4
2026-04-28 Petco Park 9 1 111.9
2026-04-23 Wrigley Field 9 1 107.5
2026-04-17 Wrigley Field 9 0 111.9
2026-04-11 Wrigley Field 9 0 115.4
2026-04-05 Progressive Field 9 0 111.6
2026-03-30 Wrigley Field 9 1 107.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Edward Cabrera isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Edward Cabrera isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
Wrigley Field 78 9 12%
Rate Field 9 3 33%
Globe Life Field 9 2 22%
Citi Field 8 2 25%
Petco Park 9 1 11%
Coors Field 8 1 12%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 7. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
⚾
Six home runs to freedom

Edward Cabrera's full pitcher profile is waiting

Upgrade to see the Threat Matrix, vulnerability signals, arsenal damage, BvP history, HR log, and ballpark conditions.

No card to sign up. Yesterday's graded board and the daily top-5 preview are free.
130 more waiting in the on-deck circle

Common questions about Edward Cabrera

How many home runs has Edward Cabrera allowed this season?

Edward Cabrera has allowed 18 home runs across 15 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.

Which batters have homered off Edward Cabrera?

In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Edward Cabrera include Alec Burleson (2), Kyle Schwarber (2), Bo Bichette (1) and 26 more.

Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.

THR 3.3.180 · build 681
⚾

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.

Yesterday's board graded name-by-name — hits and misses — plus tonight's ranked board (scores and matchups; batter names are Pro), free in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.