16
HRs allowed
13.1%
HR rate (pool)
19.6%
Overall HR/FB
4.34
FIP
3.98
xFIP
+0.36
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
87
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 87th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.5 EV · 392 ft
max EV allowed 115.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 7 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Edward Cabrera.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Changeup Offspeed
30.4%
83.7
-1.4°
2
+0.1
Sinker Hard
21.8%
87.4
18.3°
3
-0.1
Curveball Breaking
19.2%
82.8
-0.6°
4
-0.2
Fastball Hard
17.0%
87.8
32.3°
6
+3.4
Slider Breaking
11.6%
80.6
19.4°
2
+0.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups122
HRs allowed (pool)16
Pool HR rate13.1%
Pool HR/game day1.14
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB19.6% 87
HR/9—
FIP4.34 62
xFIP3.98
FIP − xFIP+0.36 68
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Changeup
Offspeed · 30.4% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle-1.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches391
Sinker
Hard · 21.8% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.4 mph
Avg launch angle18.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches280
Curveball
Breaking · 19.2% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle-0.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches247
Fastball
Hard · 17.0% usage
+3.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle32.3°
HRs allowed6
Pitches219
Slider
Breaking · 11.6% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.6 mph
Avg launch angle19.4°
HRs allowed2
Pitches149
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Edward Cabrera.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
16 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.5 EV · 392 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 14 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-23
8
2
105.2
2026-06-16
8
1
107.5
2026-06-11
8
1
108.3
2026-06-05
8
3
109.6
2026-05-20
9
0
106.1
2026-05-15
9
3
106.8
2026-05-09
9
2
107.0
2026-05-04
9
1
107.4
2026-04-28
9
1
111.9
2026-04-23
9
1
107.5
2026-04-17
9
0
111.9
2026-04-11
9
0
115.4
2026-04-05
9
0
111.6
2026-03-30
9
1
107.6
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Edward Cabrera isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.