11
HRs allowed
7.8%
HR rate (pool)
12.6%
Overall HR/FB
3.56
FIP
3.94
xFIP
-0.37
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
49
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 49th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
64.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.9 EV · 397 ft
max EV allowed 113.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 2 HR
30D · 4 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Sean Burke.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
37.9%
82.3
31.2°
7
-1.0
Knuckle Curve Breaking
20.9%
83.5
4.5°
1
+0.5
Slider Breaking
17.2%
81.9
18.9°
2
-0.3
Sinker Hard
14.7%
84.9
26.0°
3
+0.7
Cutter Hard
6.5%
84.0
11.4°
1
-2.1
Changeup Offspeed
2.8%
80.6
27.9°
0
+1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups141
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate7.8%
Pool HR/game day0.69
Top-15 matchups11
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB12.6% 49
HR/9—
FIP3.56 31
xFIP3.94
FIP − xFIP-0.37 25
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed64.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 37.9% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle31.2°
HRs allowed7
Pitches675
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 20.9% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle4.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches372
Slider
Breaking · 17.2% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle18.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches306
Sinker
Hard · 14.7% usage
+0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.9 mph
Avg launch angle26.0°
HRs allowed3
Pitches262
Cutter
Hard · 6.5% usage
-2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches116
Changeup
Offspeed · 2.8% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.6 mph
Avg launch angle27.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches50
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Sean Burke.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.9 EV · 397 ft
4 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-10
8
1
108.2
2026-07-04
8
1
103.2
2026-06-29
9
0
102.2
2026-06-23
8
0
104.0
2026-06-13
9
2
109.6
2026-05-31
9
0
106.1
2026-05-26
9
0
104.2
2026-05-20
9
2
106.7
2026-05-15
9
0
109.2
2026-05-08
9
3
113.4
2026-05-02
9
0
105.2
2026-04-21
9
0
—
2026-04-15
9
2
107.3
2026-04-08
9
0
106.1
2026-04-02
9
0
104.0
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Sean Burke isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.