12
HRs allowed
8.6%
HR rate (pool)
14.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.24
FIP
3.24
xFIP
+0.00
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
66
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 66th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
60.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.3 EV · 391 ft
max EV allowed 116.9
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 4 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Harrison.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
58.1%
82.6
30.4°
8
-1.0
Slurve Breaking
30.0%
80.2
11.9°
1
-1.6
Changeup Offspeed
9.9%
84.9
-11.5°
2
+2.1
Sinker Hard
2.0%
80.8
9.2°
0
+3.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups139
HRs allowed (pool)12
Pool HR rate8.6%
Pool HR/game day0.75
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB14.3% 66
HR/9—
FIP3.24 22
xFIP3.24
FIP − xFIP+0.00 48
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed60.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 58.1% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle30.4°
HRs allowed8
Pitches891
Slurve
Breaking · 30.0% usage
-1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.2 mph
Avg launch angle11.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches460
Changeup
Offspeed · 9.9% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.9 mph
Avg launch angle-11.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches152
Sinker
Hard · 2.0% usage
+3.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle9.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches31
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Kyle Harrison.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
12 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.3 EV · 391 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
9
2
115.0
2026-07-03
7
0
107.2
2026-06-27
8
2
106.5
2026-06-20
8
1
99.1
2026-06-14
9
0
108.9
2026-06-08
8
4
110.3
2026-06-02
9
1
107.8
2026-05-26
9
0
104.5
2026-05-20
9
0
98.5
2026-05-14
9
0
106.7
2026-05-09
9
0
104.9
2026-05-02
9
0
106.9
2026-04-26
9
0
107.3
2026-04-21
9
0
108.8
2026-04-05
9
1
105.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Kyle Harrison isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.