15
HRs allowed
11.5%
HR rate (pool)
9.4%
Overall HR/FB
3.25
FIP
4.38
xFIP
-1.13
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
20
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 20th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
75.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 103.2 EV · 393 ft
max EV allowed 111.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Keider Montero.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
32.0%
84.2
30.7°
3
-2.0
Sinker Hard
22.1%
85.2
10.2°
1
-1.8
Slider Breaking
17.6%
83.3
23.8°
1
-0.7
Knuckle Curve Breaking
14.2%
81.6
21.2°
3
+1.9
Changeup Offspeed
14.0%
79.7
21.4°
1
-2.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups131
HRs allowed (pool)15
Pool HR rate11.5%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB9.4% 20
HR/9—
FIP3.25 22
xFIP4.38
FIP − xFIP-1.13 4
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed75.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 32.0% usage
-2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.2 mph
Avg launch angle30.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches445
Sinker
Hard · 22.1% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle10.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches307
Slider
Breaking · 17.6% usage
-0.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle23.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches245
Knuckle Curve
Breaking · 14.2% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.6 mph
Avg launch angle21.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches198
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.0% usage
-2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.7 mph
Avg launch angle21.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches195
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Keider Montero.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
15 allowed · scored pool
avg 103.2 EV · 393 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-26
9
0
106.7
2026-06-21
8
1
106.1
2026-06-11
8
0
103.0
2026-06-06
8
1
107.6
2026-05-31
9
1
103.2
2026-05-26
9
2
108.2
2026-05-19
9
1
97.6
2026-05-14
9
4
106.9
2026-05-08
9
0
111.8
2026-05-02
9
1
107.9
2026-04-26
9
2
104.3
2026-04-21
9
0
108.3
2026-04-16
9
2
110.7
2026-04-10
8
0
101.2
2026-04-05
9
0
103.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Keider Montero isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.