11
HRs allowed
6.9%
HR rate (pool)
16.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.43
FIP
3.61
xFIP
-0.18
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
77
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 77th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
63.5%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.7 EV · 404 ft
max EV allowed 113.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 2 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Ranger Suarez.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
23.6%
83.2
10.5°
2
-0.1
Fastball Hard
21.6%
81.9
26.5°
1
-1.8
Cutter Hard
21.2%
79.9
24.2°
2
-1.7
Curveball Breaking
16.2%
77.3
6.1°
1
-1.1
Changeup Offspeed
14.5%
78.0
14.8°
1
+1.1
Slider Breaking
2.9%
78.5
10.5°
0
-0.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups159
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate6.9%
Pool HR/game day0.58
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB16.3% 77
HR/9—
FIP3.43 28
xFIP3.61
FIP − xFIP-0.18 35
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed63.5%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-28
Sinker
Hard · 23.6% usage
-0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.2 mph
Avg launch angle10.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches373
Fastball
Hard · 21.6% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle26.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches341
Cutter
Hard · 21.2% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.9 mph
Avg launch angle24.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches334
Curveball
Breaking · 16.2% usage
-1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.3 mph
Avg launch angle6.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches256
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.5% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches229
Slider
Breaking · 2.9% usage
-0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle10.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches46
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Ranger Suarez.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.7 EV · 404 ft
2 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-26
8
0
104.4
2026-07-05
8
1
105.9
2026-06-29
8
1
113.6
2026-06-24
8
0
109.4
2026-06-19
7
1
107.0
2026-06-13
7
1
107.3
2026-06-07
7
1
103.7
2026-06-06
7
0
—
2026-05-31
9
0
108.0
2026-05-26
9
2
107.5
2026-05-19
9
0
104.9
2026-05-14
9
1
110.4
2026-05-03
9
0
107.1
2026-04-27
9
0
100.2
2026-04-22
9
0
112.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Ranger Suarez isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Ranger Suarez isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
77
7
9%
14
1
7%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
7
1
14%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 10. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.