0
HRs allowed
0.0%
HR rate (pool)
33.3%
Overall HR/FB
5.82
FIP
4.81
xFIP
+1.01
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
99
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 99th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
11.1%
Hard-Hit% allowed
83.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
max EV allowed 108.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 0 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Holton.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
31.0%
85.4
12.9°
3
-1.5
Sinker Hard
20.3%
84.3
4.1°
1
+0.1
Changeup Offspeed
16.5%
76.5
5.8°
2
+0.3
Sweeper Breaking
15.9%
76.7
20.6°
1
-0.4
Fastball Hard
12.3%
81.7
33.4°
0
+1.2
Curveball Breaking
3.9%
80.8
-4.7°
1
+8.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0.0%
Pool HR/game day0.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB33.3% 99
HR/9—
FIP5.82 93
xFIP4.81
FIP − xFIP+1.01 91
Barrel% allowed11.1%
Hard-Hit% allowed83.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Cutter
Hard · 31.0% usage
-1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.4 mph
Avg launch angle12.9°
HRs allowed3
Pitches312
Sinker
Hard · 20.3% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle4.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches204
Changeup
Offspeed · 16.5% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.5 mph
Avg launch angle5.8°
HRs allowed2
Pitches166
Sweeper
Breaking · 15.9% usage
-0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.7 mph
Avg launch angle20.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches160
Fastball
Hard · 12.3% usage
+1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.7 mph
Avg launch angle33.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches124
Curveball
Breaking · 3.9% usage
+8.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle-4.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Holton.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-03
9
0
108.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tyler Holton isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Tyler Holton isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Tyler Holton
How many home runs has Tyler Holton allowed this season?
Tyler Holton has allowed 0 home runs across 1 scored game day in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Tyler Holton?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Tyler Holton include Aaron Judge (1), Alex Bregman (1), Andrew McCutchen (1) and 7 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.