0
HRs allowed
0.0%
HR rate (pool)
33.3%
Overall HR/FB
5.82
FIP
4.81
xFIP
+1.01
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
99
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 99th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
83.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
max EV allowed 108.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 0 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Holton.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
31.3%
84.0
14.5°
2
-1.2
Sinker Hard
18.1%
86.7
6.9°
0
+0.9
Sweeper Breaking
16.8%
77.6
22.9°
1
+0.1
Changeup Offspeed
16.1%
74.4
1.2°
2
+1.0
Fastball Hard
12.7%
83.6
30.3°
0
+1.9
Curveball Breaking
5.0%
76.9
-9.8°
0
+3.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups9
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0.0%
Pool HR/game day0.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB33.3% 99
HR/9—
FIP5.82 92
xFIP4.81
FIP − xFIP+1.01 90
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed83.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Cutter
Hard · 31.3% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle14.5°
HRs allowed2
Pitches220
Sinker
Hard · 18.1% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.7 mph
Avg launch angle6.9°
HRs allowed0
Pitches127
Sweeper
Breaking · 16.8% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.6 mph
Avg launch angle22.9°
HRs allowed1
Pitches118
Changeup
Offspeed · 16.1% usage
+1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.4 mph
Avg launch angle1.2°
HRs allowed2
Pitches113
Fastball
Hard · 12.7% usage
+1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.6 mph
Avg launch angle30.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches89
Curveball
Breaking · 5.0% usage
+3.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.9 mph
Avg launch angle-9.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches35
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tyler Holton.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 1 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-03
9
0
108.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tyler Holton isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.