18
HRs allowed
10.5%
HR rate (pool)
18.1%
Overall HR/FB
4.9
FIP
4.51
xFIP
+0.39
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.2%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.2 EV · 402 ft
max EV allowed 112.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 5 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Slade Cecconi.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
27.4%
85.9
29.7°
4
-0.3
Cutter Hard
23.9%
82.6
14.4°
4
-0.6
Sinker Hard
20.9%
85.3
9.0°
1
+0.1
Curveball Breaking
15.1%
80.0
10.9°
2
+0.2
Slider Breaking
5.3%
79.6
13.5°
0
-1.5
Sweeper Breaking
5.3%
77.3
23.6°
2
+2.9
Changeup Offspeed
1.9%
84.0
26.3°
0
+7.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups171
HRs allowed (pool)18
Pool HR rate10.5%
Pool HR/game day0.9
Top-15 matchups12
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB18.1% 83
HR/9—
FIP4.9 78
xFIP4.51
FIP − xFIP+0.39 69
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.2%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 27.4% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.9 mph
Avg launch angle29.7°
HRs allowed4
Pitches456
Cutter
Hard · 23.9% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle14.4°
HRs allowed4
Pitches399
Sinker
Hard · 20.9% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.3 mph
Avg launch angle9.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches349
Curveball
Breaking · 15.1% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle10.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches252
Slider
Breaking · 5.3% usage
-1.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle13.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches88
Sweeper
Breaking · 5.3% usage
+2.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.3 mph
Avg launch angle23.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches88
Changeup
Offspeed · 1.9% usage
+7.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle26.3°
HRs allowed0
Pitches32
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Slade Cecconi.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
18 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.2 EV · 402 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
8
0
109.5
2026-07-02
9
1
106.6
2026-06-27
8
1
111.3
2026-06-21
6
0
103.9
2026-06-16
8
2
111.8
2026-06-09
7
1
112.2
2026-06-04
9
0
99.6
2026-05-29
9
0
112.1
2026-05-23
9
0
110.4
2026-05-18
9
1
103.3
2026-05-12
9
0
108.0
2026-05-07
9
2
110.7
2026-05-02
9
1
110.5
2026-04-26
9
1
109.3
2026-04-20
9
2
111.1
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Slade Cecconi isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.