MLB Home Run Predictions — August 13, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-13: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 13, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
14
HRs by scored batters
1/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
44.1 vs 43.1
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2 | Kyle Schwarber | Taj Bradley | 67 | C+ Value |
| #18 | Max Muncy | Shane Drohan | 57 | C BelowAvg |
| #20 | Sal Stewart | Davis Martin | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #28 | Eugenio Suárez | Davis Martin | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #57 | Eduardo Valencia | Parker Messick | 46 | D Below |
| #58 | Tyler Stephenson | Davis Martin | 46 | D Below |
| #66 | Brandon Marsh | Taj Bradley | 44 | D Below |
| #71 | Owen Caissie | Braxton Ashcraft | 43 | D Below |
| #81 | Caleb Durbin | Max Scherzer | 41 | D Below |
| #101 | Luke Keaschall | Aaron Nola | 37 | D Below |
| #108 | Rafael Flores Jr. | Tyler Phillips | 35 | D Below |
| #110 | Weston Wilson | Max Fried | 35 | D Below |
| #114 | Jacob Gonzalez | Tyler Phillips | 34 | D Below |
| #146 | Jared Triolo | Tyler Phillips | 24 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Eduardo Valencia, Tyler Stephenson, Brandon Marsh, Owen Caissie, Caleb Durbin, Luke Keaschall, Rafael Flores Jr., Weston Wilson, Jacob Gonzalez, Jared Triolo
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.