11
HRs allowed
8.6%
HR rate (pool)
15.7%
Overall HR/FB
3.24
FIP
3.32
xFIP
-0.08
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
75
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 75th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
58.6%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.3 EV · 385 ft
max EV allowed 110.2
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 2 HR
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Zack Wheeler.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
35.9%
82.8
35.2°
6
-1.7
Sinker Hard
15.6%
79.1
7.8°
1
-2.1
Splitter Offspeed
15.1%
79.6
3.7°
1
-2.5
Sweeper Breaking
14.4%
81.4
22.2°
1
-0.9
Cutter Hard
11.0%
80.9
20.2°
1
-1.0
Curveball Breaking
8.1%
90.2
3.0°
0
+0.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups128
HRs allowed (pool)11
Pool HR rate8.6%
Pool HR/game day0.73
Top-15 matchups7
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB15.7% 75
HR/9—
FIP3.24 22
xFIP3.32
FIP − xFIP-0.08 42
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed58.6%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 35.9% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.8 mph
Avg launch angle35.2°
HRs allowed6
Pitches521
Sinker
Hard · 15.6% usage
-2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.1 mph
Avg launch angle7.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches226
Splitter
Offspeed · 15.1% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle3.7°
HRs allowed1
Pitches220
Sweeper
Breaking · 14.4% usage
-0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle22.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches209
Cutter
Hard · 11.0% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle20.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches160
Curveball
Breaking · 8.1% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against90.2 mph
Avg launch angle3.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches117
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Zack Wheeler.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
11 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.3 EV · 385 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-12
9
0
103.3
2026-07-07
9
1
108.2
2026-07-01
9
1
106.7
2026-06-26
8
0
108.3
2026-06-21
7
1
107.8
2026-06-15
8
0
101.1
2026-06-09
6
1
101.8
2026-06-04
9
2
109.7
2026-05-29
9
4
104.6
2026-05-23
9
0
105.6
2026-05-17
9
0
110.2
2026-05-12
9
0
109.3
2026-05-06
9
1
102.6
2026-05-01
9
0
106.3
2026-04-25
9
0
108.8
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Zack Wheeler isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.