2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Anthony Kay

Anthony Kay

LHP CWS
152 matchups scored · 18 game days
13
HRs allowed
8.6%
HR rate (pool)
20.8%
Overall HR/FB
5.72
FIP
5.3
xFIP
+0.42
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 89
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
89
no model flags today
Vulnerability 89th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.1%
69.1%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 102.3 EV · 393 ft max EV allowed 113.4
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-05-25 · 1 HR 2026-05-30 · 1 HR 2026-06-05 · 2 HR 2026-06-17 · 2 HR 2026-07-09 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR 15D · 1 HR 30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Anthony Kay.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard 24.0% 82.2 31.3° 3 +0.1
Sweeper Breaking 22.0% 80.0 17.2° 1 +0.8
Sinker Hard 17.6% 85.0 6.0° 5 +0.4
Cutter Hard 17.4% 81.2 24.0° 2 +0.7
Changeup Offspeed 14.2% 83.5 -3.5° 1 +0.1
Slider Breaking 4.9% 84.8 -0.8° 0 +1.1
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups152
HRs allowed (pool)13
Pool HR rate8.6%
Pool HR/game day0.72
Top-15 matchups9
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB20.8% 89
HR/9
FIP5.72 91
xFIP5.3
FIP − xFIP+0.42 71
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.1%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 24.0% usage
+0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.2 mph
Avg launch angle31.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches409
Sweeper
Breaking · 22.0% usage
+0.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.0 mph
Avg launch angle17.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches374
Sinker
Hard · 17.6% usage
+0.4 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle6.0°
HRs allowed5
Pitches299
Cutter
Hard · 17.4% usage
+0.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.2 mph
Avg launch angle24.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches296
Changeup
Offspeed · 14.2% usage
+0.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.5 mph
Avg launch angle-3.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches241
Slider
Breaking · 4.9% usage
+1.1 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.8 mph
Avg launch angle-0.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches83
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Anthony Kay.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
13 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.3 EV · 393 ft 3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-07-09 Caleb Durbin #129 38 Rate Field 98.2 31.0° 379
2026-06-17 Paul Goldschmidt #18 70 Yankee Stadium 100.0 25.0° 349
2026-06-17 Cody Bellinger #40 61 Yankee Stadium 92.2 28.0° 363
2026-06-05 Adolis García #85 49 Citizens Bank Park 103.5 30.0° 407
2026-06-05 Brandon Marsh #86 49 Citizens Bank Park 104.5 23.0° 401
2026-05-30 Wenceel Pérez #141 44 Rate Field 100.3 25.0° 386
2026-05-25 Brooks Lee #97 45 Rate Field 105.6 37.0° 386.0
2026-05-03 Miguel Andujar #116 29 Petco Park 105.5 22.0° 407.0
2026-05-03 Manny Machado #158 25 Petco Park 102.5 32.0° 397.0
2026-04-27 Jorge Soler #43 47 Rate Field 107.9 24.0° 431.0
2026-04-22 Ildemaro Vargas #160 33 Chase Field 103.8 26.0° 405.0
2026-04-22 Nolan Arenado #182 28 Chase Field 102.3 27.0° 411.0
2026-03-29 Gary Sánchez #52 47 American Family Field 104.1 27.0° 387.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-09 Rate Field 7 1 108.6
2026-07-03 Progressive Field 9 0 98.0
2026-06-28 Rate Field 8 0 110.4
2026-06-22 Rate Field 8 0 106.1
2026-06-17 Yankee Stadium 7 2 107.8
2026-06-12 Rate Field 8 0 107.8
2026-06-11 Rate Field 8 0
2026-06-05 Citizens Bank Park 7 2 109.5
2026-05-30 Rate Field 9 1 105.1
2026-05-25 Rate Field 9 1 107.2
2026-05-19 T-Mobile Park 9 0 107.2
2026-05-14 Rate Field 9 0 106.8
2026-05-09 Rate Field 9 0 106.9
2026-05-03 Petco Park 9 2 107.8
2026-04-27 Rate Field 9 1 108.4
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Anthony Kay isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Anthony Kay's full pitcher profile is waiting

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