MLB Home Run Predictions — August 8, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-08-08: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for August 8, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
20
HRs by scored batters
2/5
Top-5 picks that homered
3/15
Top-15 picks that homered
48.1 vs 41.0
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3 | Bryce Harper | Max Scherzer | 71 | B AboveAvg |
| #5 | Munetaka Murakami | Gavin Williams | 68 | C+ Value |
| #15 | Ben Rice | Chris Sale | 60 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Brandon Lowe | NYM Bullpen Proxy | 60 | C+ Value |
| #27 | Rhys Hoskins | Anthony Kay | 55 | C BelowAvg |
| #28 | Trea Turner | Max Scherzer | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #41 | Corey Seager | Kyle Bradish | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #47 | Jordan Walker | Kyle Freeland | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #49 | Ian Happ | Seth Lugo | 50 | C BelowAvg |
| #54 | Jac Caglianone | Clay Holmes | 49 | D Below |
| #55 | Eugenio Suárez | Andrew Alvarez | 48 | D Below |
| #83 | Taylor Trammell | Michael King | 45 | D Below |
| #92 | Tyler Soderstrom | Jake Bennett | 44 | D Below |
| #132 | Jake McCarthy | Matthew Liberatore | 40 | D Below |
| #139 | Jackson Merrill | Peter Lambert | 40 | D Below |
| #154 | Kyle Tucker | Brandon Pfaadt | 38 | D Below |
| #156 | Nathan Lukes | Aaron Nola | 38 | D Below |
| #158 | Jackson Holliday | Jacob deGrom | 38 | D Below |
| #192 | Josh Naylor | Griffin Jax | 34 | D Below |
| #220 | Henry Bolte | Jake Bennett | 30 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jac Caglianone, Eugenio Suárez, Taylor Trammell, Tyler Soderstrom, Jake McCarthy, Jackson Merrill, Kyle Tucker, Nathan Lukes, Jackson Holliday, Josh Naylor, Henry Bolte
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.