Ryan Gusto
RHP
MIA
0
HRs Allowed
0.0%
HR Rate (Pool)
4.8%
Overall HR/FB
2.74
FIP
3.29
xFIP
-0.56
FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
0.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
4.8%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
4th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
2.74
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
11th pctile
3.29
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.56
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
21th pctile
0.0%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
24
Pool Matchups
0
HRs Allowed (Pool)
1
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
0.0%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 95.8mph | · | · | · | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 93.5mph | · | · | · | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 93.5mph | · | · | · | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
93.5
Avg Max EV
108.9
Max EV Allowed
16
Hard-Hit Proxy · 66.7%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
—
Avg HR EV
—
Avg HR Launch
—
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Bryce Eldridge | 103.1mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Rafael Devers | 102.2mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Casey Schmitt | 101.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Kyle Schwarber | 106.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Brandon Marsh | 102.4mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Corbin Carroll | 108.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ketel Marte | 104.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ildemaro Vargas | 100.9mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 79 | 26.6% | +0.3 | 84.7 | 31.4° | 0 |
| Changeup | 57 | 19.2% | -1.5 | 82.1 | 1.1° | 0 |
| Cutter | 39 | 13.1% | +1.1 | 85.6 | 8.8° | 0 |
| Sinker | 39 | 13.1% | -1.0 | 72.2 | 4.4° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 33 | 11.1% | -7.8 | 81.7 | 28.1° | 0 |
| Slider | 31 | 10.4% | +10.4 | 91.6 | 8.5° | 1 |
Quality of Contact
Barrel%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Daniel Susac | #206 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Drew Gilbert | #195 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Jung Hoo Lee | #189 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Matt Chapman | #101 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Rafael Devers | #68 | 57 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Willy Adames | #63 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Casey Schmitt | #43 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-21 | Bryce Eldridge | #17 | 70 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Justin Crawford | #142 | 23 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Trea Turner | #130 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Bryson Stott | #87 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Edmundo Sosa | #85 | 44 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Brandon Marsh | #53 | 54 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Bryce Harper | #17 | 68 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-15 | Kyle Schwarber | #5 | 75 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Pavin Smith | #229 | 15 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Geraldo Perdomo | #218 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Tommy Troy | #183 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ryan Waldschmidt | #172 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ildemaro Vargas | #115 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Nolan Arenado | #99 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Ketel Marte | #86 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Gabriel Moreno | #62 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-10 | Corbin Carroll | #27 | 62 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |