0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
12.5%
Overall HR/FB
4.55
FIP
4.49
xFIP
#13
Leakiest SP today (of 24, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
46
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 46th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
6 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 41.4%
BRK 31.6%
OFF 25.7%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 2
Long shots · 7 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (41.4% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
6 of 9 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
41.4%
79.7
25.3°
1
+1.4
Changeup Offspeed
25.7%
78.5
0.2°
0
-1.8
Curveball Breaking
18.4%
81.0
-13.7°
0
-1.7
Slider Breaking
13.2%
89.5
13.8°
0
-3.4
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB12.5% 46
HR/9—
FIP4.55 69
xFIP4.49
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Fastball
Hard · 41.4% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.7 mph
Avg launch angle25.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches63
Changeup
Offspeed · 25.7% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.5 mph
Avg launch angle0.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Curveball
Breaking · 18.4% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.0 mph
Avg launch angle-13.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches28
Slider
Breaking · 13.2% usage
-3.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against89.5 mph
Avg launch angle13.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches20
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Anthony Molina.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Truist Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
1.052
Wind
6 mph from ENE
Temp
91°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
6:05p
6
91°
+3
7:05p
5
88°
+2
8:05p
5
85°
+1
9:05p
4
84°
+0
10:05p
3
83°
+0
+1
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 4 mph from E
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
335ft
avg
CF
400ft
avg
RF
325ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
351ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
377ft
0 HRs allowed · deep
Shortest: RF 325 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Anthony Molina.
Common questions about Anthony Molina
Is Anthony Molina likely to give up a home run tonight?
Anthony Molina pitches tonight (SF @ ATL at Truist Park). This season he has allowed 0 home runs across 0 scored game days. TheHomeRuns model scores every batter he faces; see the matchup table on this page for tonight's most dangerous bats. Model output, not a guarantee. Not gambling advice.
Which batters have homered off Anthony Molina?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Anthony Molina include Addison Barger (1), Nathan Lukes (1), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1).
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.