Morning Wizard

2026-09-05 · 215 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

MIL

CIN

MIL @ CIN Wind out 1.593

Great American Ball Park Park × 1.06 warm air · steady wind out · roof open

1.06× 78°F 10 mph open

#17 Jackson Chourio · ·

TOR

TOR @ KC Crosswind 1.361

Kauffman Stadium Park × 1.05 hot air · light crosswind · roof open

1.05× 94°F 6 mph open

· #18 Jac Caglianone 4th signal park · pitcher · arsenal · barrels ·

HOU

AZ @ HOU Wind out 1.358

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.13 hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof

1.13× 85°F 6 mph retractable

· · #22 Ketel Marte 2nd signal park · pitcher

WSH

LAD

WSH @ LAD Wind out 1.357

Dodger Stadium Park × 1.04 warm air · light wind out · roof open

1.04× 81°F 7 mph open

#5 James Wood 2nd signal park · top · ·

TEX

TB @ TEX Wind out 1.352

Globe Life Field Park × 1.04 hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof

1.04× 96°F 8 mph retractable

· #28 Joc Pederson ·

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Step 2 of 9 1 candidate · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Jeffrey Springs ⚠️ High

33 HRs · 0.273 HR/IP · 20.8% HR/FB · 6.4 ERA

FIP 6.4 · xFIP 4.9 · Gap +1.50

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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