Today · 2026-08-07

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 3 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Shohei Ohtani vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.79 HR/FB 23.9% #7 Pro pick vs Merrill Kelly FIP 5.79 HR/FB 23.9% #13 Pro pick vs Zebby Matthews FIP 5.11 HR/FB 20.5%

📦 STACK Merrill Kelly FIP 5.79 HR/FB 23.9% → #1 Shohei Ohtani, #7 Pro pick

📦 STACK José Soriano FIP 3.86 HR/FB 23.3% → #2 Kyle Schwarber, #5 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Cade Cavalli FIP 3.46 HR/FB 10.7% → #9 Pro pick, #11 Pro pick

📦 STACK Nathan Eovaldi FIP 4.36 HR/FB 35.3% → #12 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-06. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Shohei Ohtani (L) ⁴	69	-11.0	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) LAD @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	26	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffRyan Zeferjahn Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance367 ft StadiumWrigley Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.19 FIP4.42 IP997.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp107°F Wind11 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note107°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	68	-12.0	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls22 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	20d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	5.0×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.00 FIP3.80 IP948.6999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+30 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Cj Abrams (L) ²	68	-6.6	●	Chase Petty (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	17d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●●○○	0.4×	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.76 IP974.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+35 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+35 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note82°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Junior Caminero (R) ³	66	-12.7	●	Logan Gilbert (RHP) TB @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	33	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-05 OffTomoyuki Sugano Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle38.0° Distance449 ft StadiumCoors Field	○○●○●	0.0×	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.09 FIP3.75 IP990.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-2 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81°F Wind5 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 33 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Bryce Harper (L)	65	-4.6	●	José Soriano (RHP) TOR @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-03 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo112.6 mph Angle22.0° Distance433 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	●●○○○	0.6×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.5% HR/91.00 FIP3.80 IP948.6999999999999 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-9.7	●	Tyler Mahle (RHP) ATL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.5% HR/91.19 FIP4.23 IP996.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note85°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-7.5	●	Merrill Kelly (RHP) LAD @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%13.1% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.19 FIP4.42 IP997.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+21 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp107°F Wind11 mph W Characterslight_out HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 27 HR Note107°F, wind 11 mph W (slight_out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-5.0	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%9.9% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1009.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+30 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+30 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note82°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-8.5	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) COL @ STL · Busch Stadium	8:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.01 FIP4.15 IP1002.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind1 mph W Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note84°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-1.3	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) BAL @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.25 FIP4.16 IP990.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note99°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-8.8	●	Zebby Matthews (RHP) MIN @ MIL · American Family Field	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP1001.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · American Family Field warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp80°F Wind9 mph SSW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note80°F, wind 9 mph SSW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	60	-6.2	●	Nathan Eovaldi (RHP) BAL @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:15p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.8% HR/91.25 FIP4.16 IP990.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+31 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+31 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note99°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-10.4	●	Max Fried (LHP) ATL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%6.5% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYY Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.00 FIP3.74 IP1021.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Yankee Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind5 mph SSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note85°F, wind 5 mph SSW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (S) ²	60	-3.2	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🔵 C+	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV94.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1009.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note82°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-6.9	●	Cade Cavalli (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.2% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1009.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+47 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+47 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note82°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-9.9	●	Parker Messick (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.94 IP1007.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
17	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-6.7	●	Shane Baz (RHP) BAL @ TEX · Globe Life Field	8:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BAL Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.06 FIP4.10 IP993.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+23 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind9 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note99°F, wind 9 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-8.4	●	Daniel Lynch IV (LHP) CHC @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.7% HR/91.33 FIP4.76 IP979.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+5 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note82°F, wind 2 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-7.7	●	George Klassen (RHP) LAA @ MIA · loanDepot Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.7% HR/91.15 FIP4.40 IP1004.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-28 Weather · loanDepot Park hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp84°F Wind11 mph ESE Characterin HR Modifier-1 Spray/Wind-28 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note84°F, wind 11 mph ESE (in) — modifier: -1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ²	57	-4.8	●	Kyle Leahy (RHP) COL @ STL · Busch Stadium	8:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%10.6% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.3% HR/91.01 FIP4.15 IP1002.1 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+17 Weather · Busch Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind1 mph W Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note84°F, wind 1 mph W (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-14.1	●	Robbie Ray (LHP) HOU @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.14 FIP4.27 IP1000.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-11 Weather · Petco Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-11 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-9.9	●	Parker Messick (LHP) CLE @ CWS · Rate Field	7:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CLE Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.3% HR/91.16 FIP3.94 IP1007.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Rate Field Unknown stadium Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR NoteUnknown stadium
23	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-5.1	●	Drew Rasmussen (RHP) TB @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:45p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.20 FIP4.05 IP1008.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · T-Mobile Park warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81°F Wind5 mph NW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note81°F, wind 5 mph NW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-5.1	●	Zack Wheeler (RHP) TOR @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%9.0% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.7% HR/91.23 FIP3.85 IP984.6 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp86°F Wind9 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note86°F, wind 9 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ²	56	-7.5	●	Zac Thornton (LHP) NYM @ PIT · PNC Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV91.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	NYM Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.12 FIP4.10 IP1027.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · PNC Park warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ²	56	-10.2	●	Jack Perkins (RHP) ATH @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%10.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.4% HR/91.56 FIP5.01 IP1024.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+15 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp90°F Wind2 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+15 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note90°F, wind 2 mph SW (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-8.1	●	CHC Bullpen Proxy CHC @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	8:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%14.0% Avg EV93.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.9% HR/91.50 FIP4.67 IP936.1 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note82°F, wind 2 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-1.6	●	SF Bullpen Proxy DET @ SF · Oracle Park	10:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls36 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/91.00 FIP4.25 IP994.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+57 Weather · Oracle Park warm air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp73°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 25 HR Note73°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ²	55	-9.2	●	Ronel Blanco (RHP) HOU @ SD · Petco Park	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.37 FIP4.76 IP1027.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-27 Weather · Petco Park warm air · steady crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp81°F Wind8 mph WNW Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-27 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note81°F, wind 8 mph WNW (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (R) ²	55	-6.7	●	Chase Petty (RHP) CIN @ WSH · Nationals Park	6:45p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.27 FIP4.76 IP974.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+12 Weather · Nationals Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp82°F Wind10 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier5 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note82°F, wind 10 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +5 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.6%

▲ +0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 13.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-06

20 HRs

40%

8 caught / 20 HRs

in top 50

#3 Matt Olson

36.3%

🟡

#6 Sal Stewart

28.3%

🔵

#7 JJ Bleday

29.9%

🔵

#10 Dillon Dingler

34.0%

🟠

#14 Elly De La Cruz

16.4%

🟠

#40 Royce Lewis

14.5%

🟠

#41 Tyler Stephenson

12.6%

🟠

#43 Francisco Lindor

20.6%

⚪

Missed

Brandon Lowe Zach Neto Nathaniel Lowe Jackson Chourio Gary Sánchez +7 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Dillon Dingler ×4 Matt Olson ×4 Sal Stewart ×3 Junior Caminero ×3 JJ Bleday ×2

❄️ Cold

Kyle Schwarber 0 of 7d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Drake Baldwin 0 of 6d Dylan Crews 0 of 6d Ben Rice 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.7%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-07

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.