5
HRs allowed
6.2%
HR rate (pool)
4.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.74
FIP
3.93
xFIP
-1.19
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
4
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 4th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
62.9%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.6 EV · 397 ft
max EV allowed 114.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 1 HR
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Max Fried.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
22.4%
81.8
12.2°
0
-3.2
Sinker Hard
22.1%
83.3
1.2°
0
-1.8
Fastball Hard
16.8%
82.1
28.8°
1
+0.6
Curveball Breaking
14.2%
78.6
3.4°
0
-0.8
Changeup Offspeed
13.7%
75.2
5.5°
0
-1.7
Sweeper Breaking
9.8%
71.8
39.0°
0
-1.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups81
HRs allowed (pool)5
Pool HR rate6.2%
Pool HR/game day0.56
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB4.3% 4
HR/9—
FIP2.74 9
xFIP3.93
FIP − xFIP-1.19 3
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed62.9%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Cutter
Hard · 22.4% usage
-3.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle12.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches205
Sinker
Hard · 22.1% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle1.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches203
Fastball
Hard · 16.8% usage
+0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle28.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches154
Curveball
Breaking · 14.2% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.6 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches130
Changeup
Offspeed · 13.7% usage
-1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.2 mph
Avg launch angle5.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches126
Sweeper
Breaking · 9.8% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against71.8 mph
Avg launch angle39.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches90
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Max Fried.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
5 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.6 EV · 397 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-13
9
1
111.1
2026-05-08
9
0
111.9
2026-05-03
9
0
107.7
2026-04-27
9
1
109.0
2026-04-22
9
0
106.0
2026-04-16
9
3
114.6
2026-04-11
9
0
111.1
2026-04-05
9
0
100.6
2026-03-31
9
0
107.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Max Fried isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.