12
HRs allowed
9.3%
HR rate (pool)
3.7%
Overall HR/FB
2.67
FIP
3.81
xFIP
-1.15
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
4
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 4th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
10.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed
66.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.2 EV · 390 ft
max EV allowed 114.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 2 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Max Fried.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard
22.6%
82.0
11.3°
1
-2.0
Sinker Hard
22.1%
83.0
1.7°
0
-1.4
Fastball Hard
18.4%
80.9
27.6°
1
+0.0
Curveball Breaking
12.8%
77.7
4.0°
0
-1.4
Changeup Offspeed
12.2%
77.1
7.4°
0
-2.3
Sweeper Breaking
10.6%
74.9
29.0°
0
-2.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups129
HRs allowed (pool)12
Pool HR rate9.3%
Pool HR/game day0.8
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB3.7% 4
HR/9—
FIP2.67 7
xFIP3.81
FIP − xFIP-1.15 3
Barrel% allowed10.9%
Hard-Hit% allowed66.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-30
Cutter
Hard · 22.6% usage
-2.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.0 mph
Avg launch angle11.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches293
Sinker
Hard · 22.1% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.0 mph
Avg launch angle1.7°
HRs allowed0
Pitches286
Fastball
Hard · 18.4% usage
+0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.9 mph
Avg launch angle27.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches239
Curveball
Breaking · 12.8% usage
-1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.7 mph
Avg launch angle4.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches166
Changeup
Offspeed · 12.2% usage
-2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.1 mph
Avg launch angle7.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches158
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.6% usage
-2.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against74.9 mph
Avg launch angle29.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches138
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Max Fried.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
12 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.2 EV · 390 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-29
9
2
108.5
2026-08-13
9
1
106.8
2026-08-07
7
2
109.8
2026-08-01
8
1
108.8
2026-07-27
9
0
106.4
2026-07-22
6
1
103.6
2026-05-13
9
1
111.1
2026-05-08
9
0
111.9
2026-05-03
9
0
107.7
2026-04-27
9
1
109.0
2026-04-22
9
0
106.0
2026-04-16
9
3
114.6
2026-04-11
9
0
111.1
2026-04-05
9
0
100.6
2026-03-31
9
0
107.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Max Fried isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Max Fried isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
58
9
16%
9
1
11%
9
1
11%
8
1
12%
9
0
0%
9
0
0%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 9. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Max Fried
How many home runs has Max Fried allowed this season?
Max Fried has allowed 12 home runs across 15 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Max Fried?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Max Fried include Jonathan India (2), Adley Rutschman (1), Alex Bregman (1) and 22 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.