2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs 1 James Wood 7 HRs · 2 Ben Rice 5 HRs · 3 Jordan Walker 5 HRs · 4 Junior Caminero 5 HRs · 5 Shohei Ohtani 4 HRs · 6 Yordan Alvarez 4 HRs · 7 Kyle Karros 4 HRs · 8 Juan Soto 4 HRs · 9 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 4 HRs · 11 Samuel Basallo 4 HRs · 12 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs
Max Fried

Max Fried

LHP NYY
81 matchups scored · 9 game days
5
HRs allowed
6.2%
HR rate (pool)
4.3%
Overall HR/FB
2.74
FIP
3.93
xFIP
-1.19
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter STINGY
LEAKY 4
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
4
no model flags today
Vulnerability 4th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
62.9%
62.9%
Fly-ball rate
avg HR 104.6 EV · 397 ft max EV allowed 114.6
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
2026-04-16 · 3 HR 2026-04-27 · 1 HR 2026-05-13 · 1 HR
7D · 1 HR 15D · 1 HR 30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Not on today's slate — matchup context appears when he's next listed.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Max Fried.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Cutter Hard 22.4% 81.8 12.2° 0 -3.2
Sinker Hard 22.1% 83.3 1.2° 0 -1.8
Fastball Hard 16.8% 82.1 28.8° 1 +0.6
Curveball Breaking 14.2% 78.6 3.4° 0 -0.8
Changeup Offspeed 13.7% 75.2 5.5° 0 -1.7
Sweeper Breaking 9.8% 71.8 39.0° 0 -1.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups81
HRs allowed (pool)5
Pool HR rate6.2%
Pool HR/game day0.56
Top-15 matchups8
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB4.3% 4
HR/9
FIP2.74 9
xFIP3.93
FIP − xFIP-1.19 3
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed62.9%
FB%
K/9
BB/9
WHIP
IP
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Cutter
Hard · 22.4% usage
-3.2 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.8 mph
Avg launch angle12.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches205
Sinker
Hard · 22.1% usage
-1.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle1.2°
HRs allowed0
Pitches203
Fastball
Hard · 16.8% usage
+0.6 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle28.8°
HRs allowed1
Pitches154
Curveball
Breaking · 14.2% usage
-0.8 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against78.6 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed0
Pitches130
Changeup
Offspeed · 13.7% usage
-1.7 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against75.2 mph
Avg launch angle5.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches126
Sweeper
Breaking · 9.8% usage
-1.9 run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against71.8 mph
Avg launch angle39.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches90
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Max Fried.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
5 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.6 EV · 397 ft 5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
2026-05-13 Adley Rutschman #13 54 Camden Yards 100.1 37.0° 393.0
2026-04-27 Joc Pederson #134 16 Globe Life Field 108.2 27.0° 415.0
2026-04-16 Mike Trout #14 69 Yankee Stadium 114.6 31.0° 446.0
2026-04-16 Oswald Peraza #86 40 Yankee Stadium 99.8 31.0° 375.0
2026-04-16 Jo Adell #96 36 Yankee Stadium 100.2 29.0° 356.0
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 9 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-05-13 Camden Yards 9 1 111.1
2026-05-08 American Family Field 9 0 111.9
2026-05-03 Yankee Stadium 9 0 107.7
2026-04-27 Globe Life Field 9 1 109.0
2026-04-22 Fenway Park 9 0 106.0
2026-04-16 Yankee Stadium 9 3 114.6
2026-04-11 Tropicana Field 9 0 111.1
2026-04-05 Yankee Stadium 9 0 100.6
2026-03-31 T-Mobile Park 9 0 107.9
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Max Fried isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.
Six home runs to freedom

Max Fried's full pitcher profile is waiting

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