MLB Home Run Predictions — September 10, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-09-10: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for September 10, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
7
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
50.7 vs 45.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Luis García Jr. | Ryan Feltner | 65 | C+ Value |
| #7 | Joc Pederson | Logan Gilbert | 63 | C+ Value |
| #21 | Cam Smith | Zack Wheeler | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #23 | Oneil Cruz | Hagen Smith | 54 | C BelowAvg |
| #51 | Julio Rodríguez | Jacob deGrom | 43 | D Below |
| #64 | Kyle Karros | Max Fried | 38 | D Below |
| #66 | Anthony Volpe | Ryan Feltner | 38 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Julio Rodríguez, Kyle Karros, Anthony Volpe
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.