Today · 2026-08-06

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 4 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Kyle Schwarber vs Miles Mikolas FIP 5.93 HR/FB 22.8% #2 Bryce Harper vs Miles Mikolas FIP 5.93 HR/FB 22.8% #7 Pro pick vs Ryan Johnson FIP 6.39 HR/FB 20.8% #13 Pro pick vs Ryan Johnson FIP 6.39 HR/FB 20.8%

📦 STACK Miles Mikolas FIP 5.93 HR/FB 22.8% → #1 Kyle Schwarber, #2 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Mason Barnett FIP 4.92 HR/FB 16.7% → #5 Sal Stewart, #6 Pro pick, #10 Pro pick

📦 STACK Ryan Johnson FIP 6.39 HR/FB 20.8% → #7 Pro pick, #13 Pro pick

📦 STACK Martín Pérez FIP 4.35 HR/FB 21.1% → #8 Pro pick, #15 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-05. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.5% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁵	74	-16.5	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls19 BBE Barrel%12.6% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	19d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	4.7×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Bryce Harper (L) ⁴	72	-10.0	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-03 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo112.6 mph Angle22.0° Distance433 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○●●○○	0.4×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+40 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	71	-7.7	●	Janson Junk (RHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-02 OffCade Cavalli Exit Velo99.7 mph Angle29.0° Distance401 ft StadiumTruist Park	●●●○○	0.7×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.03 FIP4.06 IP1011.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+12 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+12 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note69°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Sal Stewart (R) ²	63	-10.0	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-08-02 OffMitch Keller Exit Velo104.8 mph Angle33.0° Distance420 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●○●○○	0.4×	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1016.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+18 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+18 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Cj Abrams (L) ²	61	+3.0	●	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	28	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	16d Last HR · 2026-07-21 OffMichael Lorenzen Exit Velo102.7 mph Angle35.0° Distance434 ft StadiumCoors Field	○●●○○	0.4×	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.25 FIP3.85 IP974.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+39 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+39 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R) ⁴	61	-12.6	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ BAL · Camden Yards	12:35p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV93.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.12 FIP4.38 IP995.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+37 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+37 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note87°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ⁴	60	-5.2	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.7% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP987.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+13 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+13 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note69°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-10.7	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls25 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1016.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+11 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+11 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-3.0	●	Framber Valdez (LHP) DET @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP3.85 IP1001.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-2 Weather · T-Mobile Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind2 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-2 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note85°F, wind 2 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (S) ⁴	59	-12.8	●	Mason Barnett (RHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1016.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+21 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+21 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (R) ⁴	59	-6.5	●	Bryce Miller (RHP) DET @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	4:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.5% Avg EV89.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SEA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.09 FIP3.74 IP981.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-10 Weather · T-Mobile Park hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp85°F Wind2 mph NW Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-10 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note85°F, wind 2 mph NW (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (L) ⁴	59	-5.5	●	Dylan Cease (RHP) TOR @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%7.7% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.82 IP942.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note75°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (R) ⁴	59	-6.9	●	Ryan Johnson (RHP) LAA @ BAL · Camden Yards	12:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls15 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV92.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAA Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.4% HR/91.12 FIP4.38 IP995.7 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+32 Weather · Camden Yards hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note87°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-11.3	●	Bailey Ober (RHP) MIN @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP1001.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-51 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-7.1	●	Ranger Suarez (LHP) CWS @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%10.2% Avg EV94.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.98 FIP3.72 IP983.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+32 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note83°F, wind 6 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (R) ⁴	57	-10.5	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.18 IP977.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note83°F, wind 6 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (L) ⁴	57	-7.7	●	Janson Junk (RHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.3% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.03 FIP4.06 IP1011.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+6 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note69°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	·	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls6 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP987.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+9 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 12 HR Note69°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (R) ⁴	56	-7.5	●	David Peterson (LHP) TOR @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%9.7% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.49 FIP4.67 IP923.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	-6 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp75°F Wind5 mph ESE Charactercross HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind-6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note75°F, wind 5 mph ESE (cross) — modifier: +0 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-12.4	●	Andrew Abbott (LHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	12:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%8.3% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CIN Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.28 FIP4.77 IP965.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind4 mph SW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note84°F, wind 4 mph SW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ⁴	56	-7.9	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV89.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+40 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+40 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ⁴	55	-8.2	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls42 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV88.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+32 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+32 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (R) ⁴	55	-4.6	●	Kohl Drake (LHP) SD @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.19 FIP4.42 IP987.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-24 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind11 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-24 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note99°F, wind 11 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (R) ⁴	54	-8.1	●	Martín Pérez (LHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP987.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+0 Weather · Truist Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp69°F Wind7 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+0 · Neutral Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note69°F, wind 7 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-8.5	●	Michael Wacha (RHP) MIN @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%8.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	KC Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.8% HR/91.34 FIP4.79 IP970.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-51 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light wind in · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph NNE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-51 · Red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph NNE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (R) ⁴	54	-10.8	●	Kohl Drake (LHP) SD @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV90.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	AZ Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.19 FIP4.42 IP987.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-26 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind11 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-26 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note99°F, wind 11 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ⁴	54	-13.4	●	Luis Castillo (RHP) CWS @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.0% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CWS Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.2% HR/91.08 FIP4.18 IP977.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+34 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind6 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+34 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note83°F, wind 6 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (L) ⁴	53	-8.4	●	Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) PIT @ MIL · American Family Field	2:10p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PIT Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.08 FIP4.05 IP1006.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-21 Weather · American Family Field warm air · light wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp81°F Wind4 mph SSE Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-21 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note81°F, wind 4 mph SSE (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (L) ⁴	52	-7.5	●	Walker Buehler (RHP) SD @ AZ · Chase Field	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%10.1% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.1% HR/91.15 FIP4.29 IP995.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-25 Weather · Chase Field hot air · steady wind in · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind11 mph NNW Characterin HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-25 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note99°F, wind 11 mph NNW (in) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ⁴	52	-5.8	●	Miles Mikolas (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:05p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.0% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+41 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · steady wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp87°F Wind8 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note87°F, wind 8 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

🔒

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.0%

▼ -0.2 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 13.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-05

23 HRs

21%

5 caught / 23 HRs

in top 50

#5 Junior Caminero

30.5%

🟡

#8 Pete Crow-Armstrong

31.9%

🔵

#10 Shohei Ohtani

24.4%

🔵

#13 Max Muncy

33.0%

🔵

#48 Dillon Dingler

19.6%

🟠

Missed

Brandon Nimmo Coby Mayo Jose Altuve Jesús Sánchez Wilyer Abreu +13 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Dillon Dingler ×3 Junior Caminero ×3 Matt Olson ×3 Bryce Harper ×2 Mickey Moniak ×2

❄️ Cold

Ben Rice 0 of 7d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Dylan Crews 0 of 6d Drake Baldwin 0 of 6d Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.3%

B 19.7%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-06

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.