0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
0.0%
Overall HR/FB
2.95
FIP
4.51
xFIP
#30
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
3
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 3th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
4 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 48.1%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 2
Long shots · 5 — below the fade line
Read the columns: the fastball family (48.1% usage) carries his damage — FB is the leak.
4 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
48.1%
82.1
41.8°
0
+0.9
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB0.0% 3
HR/9—
FIP2.95 13
xFIP4.51
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-26
Fastball
Hard · 48.1% usage
+0.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle41.8°
HRs allowed0
Pitches39
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Kohl Drake.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — Nationals Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
1.079
Wind
2 mph from WSW
Temp
81°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p
2
81°
+5
2:35p
3
81°
+6
3:35p
5
81°
+8
4:35p
6
81°
+5
5:35p
6
80°
+5
+6
Slight green alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 3 mph from SSE
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
336ft
avg
CF
402ft
avg
RF
335ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
365ft
0 HRs allowed · deep
vs RHH → LF
367ft
0 HRs allowed · deep
Shortest: RF 335 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Kohl Drake.