14
HRs allowed
8.6%
HR rate (pool)
10.4%
Overall HR/FB
2.93
FIP
3.25
xFIP
-0.32
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
29
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 29th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 102.6 EV · 386 ft
max EV allowed 113.1
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 2 HR ↑
15D · 6 HR ↑
30D · 8 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Braxton Ashcraft.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
31.5%
84.3
34.4°
7
+0.2
Curveball Breaking
26.2%
84.1
3.5°
3
-1.8
Slider Breaking
23.2%
82.9
-0.7°
3
+0.4
Sinker Hard
14.2%
87.7
-3.3°
1
-2.3
Splitter Offspeed
4.8%
80.8
21.1°
0
+0.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups162
HRs allowed (pool)14
Pool HR rate8.6%
Pool HR/game day0.74
Top-15 matchups3
HRs to top-151
Overall HR/FB10.4% 29
HR/9—
FIP2.93 13
xFIP3.25
FIP − xFIP-0.32 28
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 31.5% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.3 mph
Avg launch angle34.4°
HRs allowed7
Pitches535
Curveball
Breaking · 26.2% usage
-1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle3.5°
HRs allowed3
Pitches444
Slider
Breaking · 23.2% usage
+0.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle-0.7°
HRs allowed3
Pitches394
Sinker
Hard · 14.2% usage
-2.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.7 mph
Avg launch angle-3.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches241
Splitter
Offspeed · 4.8% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.8 mph
Avg launch angle21.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches82
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Braxton Ashcraft.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
14 allowed · scored pool
avg 102.6 EV · 386 ft
8 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-11
8
2
111.8
2026-07-10
8
0
—
2026-07-04
8
1
113.1
2026-06-29
7
3
106.7
2026-06-24
8
0
109.2
2026-06-17
8
1
108.2
2026-06-12
8
1
108.6
2026-06-06
8
1
109.5
2026-05-31
9
1
106.1
2026-05-26
9
0
108.7
2026-05-21
9
1
112.2
2026-05-15
9
1
110.7
2026-05-09
9
0
104.9
2026-05-03
9
0
104.4
2026-04-22
9
1
108.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Braxton Ashcraft isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.