Today · 2026-08-05

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

🥇 Golden Slate 5 top-15 batters face HR-prone pitchers

#1 Yordan Alvarez vs Jameson Taillon FIP 6.82 HR/FB 26.8% #3 Pro pick vs Andrew Painter FIP 5.53 HR/FB 20.9% #7 Pro pick vs Jameson Taillon FIP 6.82 HR/FB 30.0% #8 Pro pick vs Eric Lauer FIP 5.98 HR/FB 21.1% #12 Pro pick vs Jameson Taillon FIP 6.82 HR/FB 30.0%

📦 STACK Jameson Taillon FIP 6.82 HR/FB 26.8% → #1 Yordan Alvarez, #7 Pro pick, #12 Pro pick

📦 STACK Jake Irvin FIP 4.74 HR/FB 14.7% → #2 Kyle Schwarber, #6 Bryce Harper

📦 STACK Shota Imanaga FIP 4.5 HR/FB 23.5% → #11 Pro pick, #14 Pro pick

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-08-04. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

91.4% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Yordan Alvarez (L) ⁵	77	-8.1	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) TOR @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	35	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%16.2% Avg EV94.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	14d Last HR · 2026-07-22 OffSandy Alcantara Exit Velo104.9 mph Angle25.0° Distance394 ft StadiumMinute Maid Park	○○○○○	3.5×	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.82 IP942.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp95°F Wind6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 3 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
2	Kyle Schwarber (L) ⁴	74	-16.5	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	33	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls21 BBE Barrel%14.5% Avg EV93.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	18d Last HR · 2026-07-18 OffSean Manaea Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle41.0° Distance399 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	4.3×	2	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
3	Matt Olson (L) ⁴	72	-6.5	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	31	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-08-02 OffCade Cavalli Exit Velo99.7 mph Angle29.0° Distance401 ft StadiumTruist Park	○●●●○	0.3×	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.03 FIP4.06 IP1011.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+8 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 31 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
4	Junior Caminero (R) ⁴	72	-14.5	●	Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP) TB @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	32	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls40 BBE Barrel%13.5% Avg EV93.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-03 OffTanner Gordon Exit Velo112.4 mph Angle22.0° Distance442 ft StadiumCoors Field	●○○●○	0.3×	·	COL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.45 FIP4.88 IP973.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+3 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+3 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
5	Bryce Harper (L) ³	71	-13.7	●	Jake Irvin (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟡 B	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	24	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.9% Avg EV90.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-08-03 OffClayton Beeter Exit Velo112.6 mph Angle22.0° Distance433 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○●●○	0.2×	·	WSH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.3% HR/91.42 FIP4.83 IP1000.3 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
6	Pro pick (R) ²	70	+0.0	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) TOR @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🟡 B	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%12.0% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.82 IP942.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp95°F Wind6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 22 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
7	Pro pick (L) ²	69	-6.7	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%10.0% Avg EV89.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.25 FIP3.85 IP974.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+25 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+25 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
8	Pro pick (L) ²	69	-5.9	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.28 FIP4.18 IP1019.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+24 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+24 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
9	Pro pick (R) ²	68	-10.4	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls20 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.21 FIP4.06 IP1000.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+7 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
10	Pro pick (L) ²	66	·	●	Carson Whisenhunt (LHP) SF @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%10.7% Avg EV91.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.24 IP986.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+20 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+20 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
11	Pro pick (L) ²	66	-16.5	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) LAD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls35 BBE Barrel%12.3% Avg EV93.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.49 FIP4.67 IP923.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+16 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
12	Pro pick (R) ²	65	+2.9	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) TOR @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%9.1% Avg EV88.2 mph Surprise BarrelYes Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.82 IP942.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+27 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp95°F Wind6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 11 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
13	Pro pick (L) ²	65	-10.2	●	Andre Pallante (RHP) STL @ NYY · Yankee Stadium	7:05p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	STL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.4% HR/91.01 FIP4.16 IP993.5 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-9 Weather · Yankee Stadium warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind8 mph S Characterslight_out HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind-9 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 30 HR Note80°F, wind 8 mph S (slight_out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
14	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-8.4	●	Shota Imanaga (LHP) LAD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls23 BBE Barrel%11.2% Avg EV90.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	CHC Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.49 FIP4.67 IP923.8 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+17 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+17 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 26 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
15	Pro pick (R) ²	64	-10.0	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%8.4% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1016.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+8 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
16	Pro pick (L) ²	64	-8.4	●	Nick Martinez (RHP) TB @ COL · Coors Field	3:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%9.2% Avg EV89.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TB Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.2% HR/91.21 FIP4.06 IP1000.8 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	-30 Weather · Coors Field warm air · light crosswind · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp79°F Wind6 mph ENE Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-30 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note79°F, wind 6 mph ENE (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
17	Pro pick (R) ²	63	-9.5	●	Eric Lauer (LHP) LAD @ CHC · Wrigley Field	2:20p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%10.4% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	LAD Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.4% HR/91.28 FIP4.18 IP1019.9 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+4 Weather · Wrigley Field warm air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp80°F Wind4 mph WSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+4 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note80°F, wind 4 mph WSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
18	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-11.4	●	Sonny Gray (RHP) CWS @ BOS · Fenway Park	7:10p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls28 BBE Barrel%11.8% Avg EV94.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	BOS Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/90.98 FIP3.72 IP983.1 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+41 Weather · Fenway Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: carry conditions are helping fly balls tonight. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind7 mph SW Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+41 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 24 HR Note85°F, wind 7 mph SW (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
19	Pro pick (L) ²	61	-10.1	●	Bryce Elder (RHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV92.0 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATL Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.6% HR/91.20 FIP4.24 IP987.2 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+8 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+8 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 16 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
20	Pro pick (R) ²	61	-3.6	●	Hunter Brown (RHP) TOR @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	HOU Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB14.3% HR/91.36 FIP4.77 IP1017.6 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+29 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp95°F Wind6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+29 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
21	Pro pick (L) ²	60	-9.3	●	Dean Kremer (RHP) MIN @ KC · Kauffman Stadium	7:40p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls31 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV92.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIN Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.8% HR/91.15 FIP4.34 IP1001.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-15 Weather · Kauffman Stadium hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp84°F Wind3 mph SE Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-15 · Slight red resistance Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note84°F, wind 3 mph SE (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
22	Pro pick (R) ²	60	+2.7	●	Jameson Taillon (RHP) TOR @ HOU · Minute Maid Park	2:10p	🔵 C+	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls29 BBE Barrel%12.5% Avg EV89.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TOR Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.6% HR/91.00 FIP3.82 IP942.4 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+28 Weather · Minute Maid Park hot air · light wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp95°F Wind6 mph S Characterout HR Modifier3 Spray/Wind+28 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note95°F, wind 6 mph S (out) — modifier: +3 (first-pitch forecast)
23	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-9.0	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%7.4% Avg EV88.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1016.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+16 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+16 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
24	Pro pick (L) ²	59	-6.5	●	Drew Anderson (RHP) DET @ SEA · T-Mobile Park	9:40p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV91.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	DET Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/90.98 FIP3.85 IP1001.3 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	-7 Weather · T-Mobile Park hot air · light crosswind · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp82°F Wind6 mph N Charactercross HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind-7 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note82°F, wind 6 mph N (cross) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
25	Pro pick (R) ²	59	-8.1	●	Carson Whisenhunt (LHP) SF @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%9.3% Avg EV89.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.24 IP986.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
26	Pro pick (S) ²	59	-12.4	●	Jacob Lopez (LHP) ATH @ CIN · Great American Ball Park	6:40p	🟠 C	SHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%8.6% Avg EV94.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	ATH Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.5% HR/91.57 FIP5.03 IP1016.5 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+6 Weather · Great American Ball Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp85°F Wind4 mph NNW Characterout HR Modifier2 Spray/Wind+6 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note85°F, wind 4 mph NNW (out) — modifier: +2 (first-pitch forecast)
27	Pro pick (L) ²	62	-9.8	●	TEX Bullpen Proxy SF @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🔵 C+	LHH vs ?HP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls38 BBE Barrel%10.9% Avg EV92.3 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	TEX Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB13.9% HR/91.26 FIP4.18 IP982.0 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
28	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-8.4	●	Carson Whisenhunt (LHP) SF @ TEX · Globe Life Field	2:35p	🟠 C	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls26 BBE Barrel%10.5% Avg EV90.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	SF Bullpen · Watch Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB12.1% HR/90.99 FIP4.24 IP986.3 Signal: close to league-average danger. Worth noting, not a major boost.	+23 Weather · Globe Life Field hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof Analyst note: roof/dome keeps weather noise low. Roofretractable Temp99°F Wind8 mph S Characterout HR Modifier4 Spray/Wind+23 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 19 HR Note99°F, wind 8 mph S (out) — modifier: +4 (first-pitch forecast)
29	Pro pick (R) ²	58	-4.5	●	Andrew Painter (RHP) WSH @ PHI · Citizens Bank Park	6:40p	🟠 C	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	0	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%9.6% Avg EV90.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	PHI Bullpen · Vulnerable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB15.8% HR/91.25 FIP3.85 IP974.9 Signal: HR/FB is in the danger zone. Bullpen context boosts the matchup story.	+27 Weather · Citizens Bank Park hot air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind4 mph SSW Characterout HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+27 · Slight green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 9 HR Note83°F, wind 4 mph SSW (out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)
30	Pro pick (L) ²	58	-6.8	●	Eury Pérez (RHP) MIA @ ATL · Truist Park	7:15p	🟠 C	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	0	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%12.1% Avg EV91.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	—	—	·	·	MIA Bullpen · Stable Analyst note: if the starter exits early, this pen shapes late-game HR chances. HR/FB11.6% HR/91.03 FIP4.06 IP1011.4 Signal: below the danger threshold. This bullpen is not helping the case.	+5 Weather · Truist Park hot air · light partial wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp83°F Wind2 mph WSW Characterslight_out HR Modifier1 Spray/Wind+5 · Neutral Spray Sourcetrue · 20 HR Note83°F, wind 2 mph WSW (slight_out) — modifier: +1 (first-pitch forecast)

🔥

Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Full board + 6-pick cards — Pro

Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

13.3%

▲ +0.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 13.1% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-08-04

20 HRs

10%

2 caught / 20 HRs

in top 50

#18 Mickey Moniak

32.0%

🔵

#37 Dillon Dingler

20.7%

🟠

Missed

Taylor Trammell Riley Greene Ozzie Albies Nolan Arenado Willi Castro +13 more

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

Matt Olson ×5 Bryce Harper ×2 Dillon Dingler ×2 Junior Caminero ×2 Mickey Moniak ×2

❄️ Cold

Ben Rice 0 of 7d Drake Baldwin 0 of 7d James Wood 0 of 7d Dominic Canzone 0 of 6d Elly De La Cruz 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.4%

B 19.7%

C+ 16.9%

C 13.3%

D 8.9%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-08-05

The free preview stops at 5. Tonight's board doesn't.

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.