Hunter Brown
RHP
HOU
3
HRs Allowed
16.7%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
16.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
18
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
16.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 98.4mph | 103.6mph | 29.0° | 374ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 15 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 98.4mph | 103.6mph | 29.0° | 374ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% | 1.5 | 98.4mph | 103.6mph | 29.0° | 374ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
98.4
Avg Max EV
108.5
Max EV Allowed
11
Hard-Hit Proxy · 84.6%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
103.6
Avg HR EV
29.0°
Avg HR Launch
374
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Alex Bregman | 104.9mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Wilyer Abreu | 101.5mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Ceddanne Rafaela | 98.6mph | 98.6mph | 26° | 337ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-26 | Mike Trout | 108.5mph | 108.5mph | 35° | 403ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-26 | Logan O'Hoppe | 104.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Nolan Schanuel | 103.6mph | 103.6mph | 26° | 383ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-26 | Jorge Soler | 100.7mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #153 | 35 | Minute Maid Park | 98.6mph | 26.0° | 337.0ft |
| 2026-03-26 | Mike Trout | #21 | 44 | Daikin Park | 108.5mph | 35.0° | 403.0ft |
| 2026-03-26 | Nolan Schanuel | #115 | 28 | Daikin Park | 103.6mph | 26.0° | 383.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 80 | 32.3% | -2.5 | 85.4 | 30.8° | 0 |
| Sinker | 76 | 30.6% | -0.2 | 78.2 | 4.3° | 0 |
| Knuckle Curve | 52 | 21.0% | -3.7 | 82.6 | -8.0° | 0 |
| Slider | 22 | 8.9% | +1.1 | 80.8 | 1.8° | 0 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Abraham Toro | #165 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Jarren Duran | #155 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #153 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-31 | Alex Bregman | #127 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Romy Gonzalez | #110 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Carlos Narvaez | #102 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Roman Anthony | #91 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Wilyer Abreu | #89 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-31 | Trevor Story | #88 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Nolan Schanuel | #115 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-26 | Luis Rengifo | #100 | 26 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Jorge Soler | #52 | 39 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Yoan Moncada | #47 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Logan O'Hoppe | #46 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Zach Neto | #35 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Taylor Ward | #31 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Mike Trout | #21 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-03-26 | Jo Adell | #18 | 50 | 🟠 C | ➖ NTRL | · |