17
HRs allowed
12.2%
HR rate (pool)
18.4%
Overall HR/FB
5.27
FIP
4.62
xFIP
+0.65
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
85
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 85th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
77.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.6 EV · 404 ft
max EV allowed 116.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 3 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 6 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tomoyuki Sugano.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
22.2%
87.2
26.9°
4
+0.3
Splitter Offspeed
20.3%
80.1
4.5°
3
-0.3
Sinker Hard
18.6%
88.4
21.1°
1
+1.1
Slider Breaking
11.2%
84.1
18.2°
3
+1.7
Sweeper Breaking
10.7%
83.3
31.0°
0
-1.0
Cutter Hard
10.5%
84.0
27.1°
5
+3.0
Curveball Breaking
6.5%
81.5
3.4°
1
+0.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups139
HRs allowed (pool)17
Pool HR rate12.2%
Pool HR/game day1.06
Top-15 matchups28
HRs to top-156
Overall HR/FB18.4% 85
HR/9—
FIP5.27 85
xFIP4.62
FIP − xFIP+0.65 79
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed77.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Fastball
Hard · 22.2% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle26.9°
HRs allowed4
Pitches324
Splitter
Offspeed · 20.3% usage
-0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against80.1 mph
Avg launch angle4.5°
HRs allowed3
Pitches297
Sinker
Hard · 18.6% usage
+1.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against88.4 mph
Avg launch angle21.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches272
Slider
Breaking · 11.2% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.1 mph
Avg launch angle18.2°
HRs allowed3
Pitches164
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.7% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.3 mph
Avg launch angle31.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches156
Cutter
Hard · 10.5% usage
+3.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.0 mph
Avg launch angle27.1°
HRs allowed5
Pitches154
Curveball
Breaking · 6.5% usage
+0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.5 mph
Avg launch angle3.4°
HRs allowed1
Pitches95
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tomoyuki Sugano.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
17 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.6 EV · 404 ft
6 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-06-26
9
2
107.3
2026-06-20
7
1
106.3
2026-06-14
9
2
111.8
2026-06-09
9
1
107.2
2026-06-02
6
0
111.0
2026-05-27
9
3
111.3
2026-05-22
9
0
116.7
2026-05-16
9
0
108.9
2026-05-10
9
2
109.4
2026-05-04
9
1
105.6
2026-04-29
9
0
105.0
2026-04-22
9
0
109.2
2026-04-17
9
1
108.3
2026-04-10
9
2
109.2
2026-04-05
9
0
108.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tomoyuki Sugano isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.