27
HRs allowed
13.2%
HR rate (pool)
18.9%
Overall HR/FB
5.36
FIP
4.65
xFIP
+0.71
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
83
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 83th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
24.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
78.3%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 104.5 EV · 410 ft
max EV allowed 116.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 3 HR
30D · 7 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Tomoyuki Sugano.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Splitter Offspeed
21.2%
79.7
5.7°
6
+0.2
Fastball Hard
21.0%
87.8
26.7°
7
+1.4
Sinker Hard
19.0%
87.2
18.1°
2
+0.3
Cutter Hard
11.6%
85.0
21.3°
7
+2.8
Sweeper Breaking
10.2%
84.5
31.6°
2
+1.8
Slider Breaking
9.7%
85.5
16.3°
3
+1.7
Curveball Breaking
7.1%
81.9
6.0°
1
+0.5
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups204
HRs allowed (pool)27
Pool HR rate13.2%
Pool HR/game day1.12
Top-15 matchups36
HRs to top-159
Overall HR/FB18.9% 83
HR/9—
FIP5.36 87
xFIP4.65
FIP − xFIP+0.71 84
Barrel% allowed24.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed78.3%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-31
Splitter
Offspeed · 21.2% usage
+0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.7 mph
Avg launch angle5.7°
HRs allowed6
Pitches457
Fastball
Hard · 21.0% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle26.7°
HRs allowed7
Pitches453
Sinker
Hard · 19.0% usage
+0.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle18.1°
HRs allowed2
Pitches410
Cutter
Hard · 11.6% usage
+2.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.0 mph
Avg launch angle21.3°
HRs allowed7
Pitches251
Sweeper
Breaking · 10.2% usage
+1.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.5 mph
Avg launch angle31.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches220
Slider
Breaking · 9.7% usage
+1.7
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.5 mph
Avg launch angle16.3°
HRs allowed3
Pitches210
Curveball
Breaking · 7.1% usage
+0.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle6.0°
HRs allowed1
Pitches154
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Tomoyuki Sugano.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
27 allowed · scored pool
avg 104.5 EV · 410 ft
7 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 15 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-08-28
9
1
110.8
2026-08-23
8
0
109.8
2026-08-17
7
2
110.2
2026-08-11
9
2
108.2
2026-08-05
8
1
105.1
2026-07-31
7
1
115.3
2026-07-24
8
2
109.0
2026-07-18
9
1
111.4
2026-06-26
9
2
107.3
2026-06-20
7
1
106.3
2026-06-14
9
2
111.8
2026-06-09
9
1
107.2
2026-06-02
6
0
111.0
2026-05-27
9
3
111.3
2026-05-22
9
0
116.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Tomoyuki Sugano isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Tomoyuki Sugano isn't on a scored slate — no park to compare his damage against.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
VenueFacedHRRate
100
9
9%
9
3
33%
18
2
11%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
9
2
22%
HRs allowed ÷ scored matchups at each park · top 6 of 12. Rate is per scored matchup, not HR/9 — box-score innings aren't tracked.
Common questions about Tomoyuki Sugano
How many home runs has Tomoyuki Sugano allowed this season?
Tomoyuki Sugano has allowed 27 home runs across 24 scored game days in the TheHomeRuns pool this season.
Which batters have homered off Tomoyuki Sugano?
In the TheHomeRuns scored pool, the batters with home runs against Tomoyuki Sugano include Aaron Judge (3), Shohei Ohtani (3), Bo Naylor (2) and 47 more.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.