7
HRs allowed
26.9%
HR rate (pool)
38.0%
Overall HR/FB
6.04
FIP
2.15
xFIP
+3.89
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
99
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Susceptible
Vulnerability 99th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
68.0%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 101.8 EV · 391 ft
max EV allowed 106.7
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 4 HR ↑
15D · 5 HR ↑
30D · 5 HR ↑
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Dean Kremer.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Splitter Offspeed
35.3%
76.6
1.6°
2
-1.0
Fastball Hard
23.1%
86.8
32.2°
5
+3.3
Sinker Hard
15.9%
82.6
20.1°
0
-2.5
Curveball Breaking
14.2%
84.4
7.5°
1
+2.1
Cutter Hard
9.5%
77.4
5.2°
1
+1.6
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups26
HRs allowed (pool)7
Pool HR rate26.9%
Pool HR/game day2.33
Top-15 matchups5
HRs to top-152
Overall HR/FB38.0% 99
HR/9—
FIP6.04 93
xFIP2.15
FIP − xFIP+3.89 100
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed68.0%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Splitter
Offspeed · 35.3% usage
-1.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against76.6 mph
Avg launch angle1.6°
HRs allowed2
Pitches122
Fastball
Hard · 23.1% usage
+3.3
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.8 mph
Avg launch angle32.2°
HRs allowed5
Pitches80
Sinker
Hard · 15.9% usage
-2.5
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.6 mph
Avg launch angle20.1°
HRs allowed0
Pitches55
Curveball
Breaking · 14.2% usage
+2.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against84.4 mph
Avg launch angle7.5°
HRs allowed1
Pitches49
Cutter
Hard · 9.5% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against77.4 mph
Avg launch angle5.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches33
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Dean Kremer.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
7 allowed · scored pool
avg 101.8 EV · 391 ft
5 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-08
9
4
106.7
2026-07-01
8
1
103.3
2026-04-18
9
2
105.3
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Dean Kremer isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.