Morning Wizard

2026-08-05 · 209 matchups scored

1 of 9 steps done

Step 1 of 9 15 candidates · 0 locked from this step

Park + Weather

Today's most HR-friendly environments — parks and weather conditions that favor the long ball.

TOR

HOU

TOR @ HOU Wind out 1.509

Minute Maid Park Park × 1.16 hot air · light wind out · retractable roof

1.16× 95°F 6 mph retractable

· · #12 Jeremy Peña 3rd signal park · pitcher

TEX

SF @ TEX Wind out 1.474

Globe Life Field Park × 1.05 hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof

1.05× 99°F 8 mph retractable

#10 Joc Pederson 3rd signal park · arsenal · top · ·

ATH

CIN

ATH @ CIN Wind out 1.285

Great American Ball Park Park × 1.07 hot air · light wind out · roof open

1.07× 85°F 4 mph open

· #23 Jj Bleday ·

STL

NYY

STL @ NYY Wind out 1.274

Yankee Stadium Park × 1.06 warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open

1.06× 80°F 8 mph open

· · #49 Jordan Walker

WSH

PHI

WSH @ PHI Wind out 1.264

Citizens Bank Park Park × 1.15 hot air · light wind out · roof open

1.15× 83°F 4 mph open

#2 Kyle Schwarber 2nd signal park · top · ·

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Step 2 of 9 2 candidates · 0 locked from this step

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Susceptible Pitchers

Pitchers on today's slate with the highest HR-susceptibility scores — they give up dingers at elevated rates.

Jameson Taillon ⚠️ High

25 HRs · 0.332 HR/IP · 23.6% HR/FB · 6.82 ERA

FIP 6.82 · xFIP 4.7 · Gap +2.12

Dean Kremer ⚠️ High

12 HRs · 0.343 HR/IP · 27.9% HR/FB · 6.38 ERA

FIP 6.38 · xFIP 3.84 · Gap +2.54

View full report →

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The Wizard has more to show you

Steps 3–9 include FIP-xFIP gap risk, splits edges, arsenal matchups, hot/cold streaks, unlucky barrels, and your final picks summary.

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Morning Wizard

Park + Weather

Susceptible Pitchers

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