0
HRs allowed
0%
HR rate (pool)
19.3%
Overall HR/FB
3.91
FIP
3.39
xFIP
#9
Leakiest SP today (of 30, by FIP−xFIP)
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
85
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 85th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
5 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
—
Hard-Hit% allowed
—
Fly-ball rate
—
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
Not enough scored game days for a trend line yet.
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
FB 40.2%
OFF 31.1%
BRK 27.4%
Overall
Score
Neutral · 1
Long shots · 6 — below the fade line
No single family leads his damage — the leak is spread across the arsenal.
5 of 7 listed bats hold the platoon edge.
Cells are each batter's season damage vs that family (not vs this pitcher specifically).
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
40.2%
82.3
29.0°
2
-1.9
Changeup Offspeed
31.1%
82.5
0.6°
4
+1.6
Curveball Breaking
22.4%
85.2
-5.1°
1
-0.0
Slider Breaking
5.0%
87.8
14.9°
2
+7.0
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups0
HRs allowed (pool)0
Pool HR rate0%
Pool HR/game day—
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB19.3% 85
HR/9—
FIP3.91 44
xFIP3.39
FIP − xFIP—
Barrel% allowed—
Hard-Hit% allowed—
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-08-05
Fastball
Hard · 40.2% usage
-1.9
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle29.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches441
Changeup
Offspeed · 31.1% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.5 mph
Avg launch angle0.6°
HRs allowed4
Pitches341
Curveball
Breaking · 22.4% usage
-0.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against85.2 mph
Avg launch angle-5.1°
HRs allowed1
Pitches245
Slider
Breaking · 5.0% usage
+7.0
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.8 mph
Avg launch angle14.9°
HRs allowed2
Pitches55
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
BatterPAHHRKwOBALast damage
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
0 allowed · scored pool
No home runs allowed in our scored matchups.
Game-day log
last 0 scored game days · pool
No scored game days yet for Drew Anderson.
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight — T-Mobile Park
open-air · game-window conditions
Park Factor
0.988
Wind
6 mph from N
Temp
82°F
Roof
Retractable
TimeWindTempFIT
6:40p
6
82°
-2
7:40p
6
78°
-3
8:40p
5
75°
-3
9:40p
5
73°
-3
10:40p
4
70°
-3
-3
Neutral alignment
park + weather FIT · batter-neutral signal
Game-window avg wind 5 mph from N
FIT = park + game-window weather HR signal, batter-neutral. Per-batter spray overlays live on each batter's profile.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
LF
331ft
avg
CF
401ft
avg
RF
326ft
avg
vs LHH → RF
348ft
0 HRs allowed
vs RHH → LF
350ft
0 HRs allowed
Shortest: RF 326 ft
Fence marks are published; power-alley + pull-side depths come from the park's outfield geometry, calibrated to those marks. We don't track HR spray direction — pull side is inferred from batter handedness (LHH→RF, RHH→LF), not a measured read.
Venue splits
HRs allowed by venue · pool
No scored matchups by venue yet for Drew Anderson.